Primeira Liga, played Friday, March 8th, 2024
Here is our Estrela Amadora v Casa Pia Atletico tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Casa Pia Atletico away win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Estrela slipped to a second defeat in three games in the Portuguese top flight in last Saturday's heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Sporting Braga which in turn has dumped Friday night's hosts in the relegation play-off spot ahead of this upcoming clash against Casa Pia who lifted themselves up into 10th place in the Primeira Liga table thanks to a point earned in a 0-0 draw at home with Gil Vicente.
Estrela sit third from bottom in the Portuguese top flight table then, but although they possess a seemingly comfortable four-point buffer above the relegation zone, recent results suggest the hosts will have to work extremely hard on Friday night if they're to even gain a point at their Estádio José Gomes.
Sergio Vieira's side have managed to pick up just the one win from their last 11 matches overall in the domestic top flight which came in the form of a comprehensive 3-0 home win against Portimonense but this has been the hosts' only highlight during this period.
Estrela have also slipped to six defeats within these last 11 games which includes losses on home soil to Arouca and Benfica both by 4-1 margins, so the prospects of a home win here on Friday night for Estrela looks very slim indeed.
Casa Pia on the other hand will be approaching this upcoming encounter at the Estádio José Gomes to take on lowly Estrela in confident mood as the visitors bring a three-match unbeaten run into this clash which includes recent victories against the likes of Arouca and Vitoria Guimaraes along with a point in the aforementioned 0-0 draw at home with Gil Vicente.
However, before we get too carried away, Casa Pia had previously stumbled to a five-game winless run in the Primeira Liga which consisted of four defeats and a draw, thus making no guarantees of success here for Goncalo Santos' side on Friday night.
Indeed, Casa Pia had found themselves on the wrong end of heavy losses to Farense 3-1 and a 8-0 humiliation away from home at Sporting Lisbon along with other defeats at the hands of Famalicao and Rio Ave, so it may be tough to actually decide which team are most likely to win this upcoming clash.
The straight win markets may be best avoided here but it's worth mentioning that six of Casa Pia's last eight games overall in the Primeira Liga have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and as both sides have produced some fairly ordinary performances of late, a low-scoring game may unfold here.
Estrela v Casa Pia Verdict
Three out of the last four meetings between Estrela and Casa Pia have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and this upcoming encounter may be no exception.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.53
Other side bets worth considering:
Casa Pia win @ 3.10
Correct Score: Casa Pia 1-0 @ 7.50
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| A | Braga | 3-0 |
| H | Chaves | 1-1 |
| A | FC Porto | 2-0 |
| H | Portimonense | 3-0 |
| A | Estoril | 1-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Gil Vicente | 0-0 |
| A | Guimaraes | 0-2 |
| H | Arouca | 1-0 |
| A | Rio Ave | 1-0 |
| H | Boavista | 0-0 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||