Bundesliga, played Saturday, May 18th, 2024
Here is our Union Berlin v Freiburg tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Freiburg away win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Union Berlin face a very tense and nervy final day of this season's Bundesliga campaign as the hosts currently occupy third from bottom place in the Bundesliga table and therefore the relegation play-off spot following last weekend's 3-2 loss away from home at FC Cologne which further extended Union Berlin's winless run in the domestic top flight to seven games, while Freiburg were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Heidenheim.
Five defeats within their last seven games have placed Union Berlin in a precarious position ahead of this final home game of the season after Marco Grote's side have slumped to losses at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen, Augsburg, Bayern Munich, Bochum and FC Cologne respectively and although the hosts have collected points in draws with Eintracht Frankfurt and Borussia M'gladbach, these have not been enough to lift Union Berlin away from the danger zone.
The bigger picture shows that Union Berlin have managed to capture just three wins from their last 15 matches overall which have been achieved against Wolfsburg, Hoffenheim and Werder Bremen but also includes eight defeats as well, which do not bode well for the hosts here.
In addition, Union Berlin have been handed four defeats out of their last five home games.
Freiburg occupy eighth place in the Bundesliga table and are just one point behind seventh placed Hoffenheim but they too need all three points here on Saturday afternoon as they find themselves in a straight shoot-out with their rivals for the last of the European spots on the final day of the season.
The visitors have also had their own problems in recent weeks in the German top flight as Freiburg have failed to win any of their last four games overall which consists of three draws and a defeat; a 2-1 loss at home to Wolfsburg has been compensated by points picked up in stalemates with Mainz, FC Cologne and Heidenheim but these have still not been enough for the visitors to break into the top seven places.
The bigger picture shows Freiburg have managed to capture just three wins out of their last 15 matches overall in the domestic top flight but the glimmer of hope for Christian Streich's side is the fact that all three victories have been achieved on their travels.
Wins on the road at Bochum, Borussia M'gladbach and Darmstadt will still give Freiburg reasons to be confident about their chances of producing a winning result here at the Stadion An der Alten Försterei.
Union Berlin v Freiburg Verdict
Neither Union Berlin or Freiburg are in particularly sparkling form right now so this could be a low-scoring war of attrition with perhaps Freiburg notching a narrow 1-0 win.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90
Other side bets worth considering:
Freiburg win @ 3.40
Correct Score: Freiburg 1-0 @ 11.00
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| A | FC Koln | 3-2 |
| H | VfL Bochum | 3-4 |
| A | Borussia Monchengladbach | 0-0 |
| H | Bayern Munich | 1-5 |
| A | Augsburg | 2-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | FC Heidenheim | 1-1 |
| A | FC Koln | 0-0 |
| H | Wolfsburg | 1-2 |
| H | Mainz | 1-1 |
| A | Darmstadt | 0-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||