Ligue 1, played Saturday, May 13th, 2023
Here is our PSG v AC Ajaccio tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a PSG home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
PSG took another step towards gaining yet another Ligue 1 title last weekend in the French top flight when they recorded a 3-1 victory away from home at Troyes which became the hosts' eighth win in 11 games which has helped the Paris club to a six-point cushion over second-placed Lens.
Just four games remain of this season's Ligue 1 campaign and PSG know that another three points on Saturday night against relegation-threatened Ajaccio would see the hosts standing on the threshold of claiming the league title this season.
However, PSG do still possess an inconsistent streak from time to time despite the wealth of quality players in their personnel and this has re-surfaced in recent weeks as PSG have lost three out of their last four matches in Ligue 1.
Losses to Rennes, Lyon and Lorient have outweighed their one success in recent times which was a 3-1 home win over Lens but PSG still have their destiny firmly in their own hands.
Saturday's visitors, Ajaccio, find themselves on the edge of the trap-door in Ligue 1 as 11 points separate them from fifth from bottom club, Auxerre, and with just four games remaining, it would now take a virtual miracle for the visitors to avoid relegation from here.
Not only do Ajaccio need to win each of these last four games (including Saturday's trip to the perennial French champions, PSG), but they also need Auxerre and the other teams around them to not pick up any further points between now and the end of the season.
Ajaccio's cause hasn't been helped by the fact that the visitors have failed to win any of their last nine games overall in the French top flight and having lost seven of these nine games, this upcoming clash at the Parc des Princes looks to be a foregone conclusion.
In addition, Ajaccio have lost their last six away games on the trot along with failing to score in four of these matches, so the visitors are not likely to be relishing this upcoming trip to the nation's capital.
PSG v Ajaccio Verdict
23 out of PSG's 34 games to date this term have resulted in Over 2.5 goals but the odds for this goal option are very low, as is the straight win market on the hosts.
However, 10 of PSG's 17 home games have resulted in Under 3.5 goals (58.8%) and although the hosts are overwhelming favourites to win this match, there's a decent chance that under 4 goals are scored in total here, especially as 14 of Ajaccio's 17 away games have also resulted in Under 3.5 goals being scored (82.3%).
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 3.5 goals @ 1.72
Other side bets worth considering:
PSG win & Over 3.5 goals @ 2.10
Correct Score: PSG 3-0 @ 6.00
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| A | Troyes | 1-3 |
| H | Lorient | 1-3 |
| A | Angers | 1-2 |
| H | Lens | 3-1 |
| A | Nice | 0-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Toulouse | 0-0 |
| A | Lille | 3-0 |
| H | Brestois | 0-0 |
| A | Strasbourg | 3-1 |
| H | Auxerre | 0-3 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||