Metz v Marseille

Ligue 1, played Friday, August 18th, 2023

Here is our Metz v Marseille tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Metz home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Metz v Marseille Previews

It was not the sort of return to the French top flight that Metz would have envisaged in last weekend's season opener away from home at Rennes as the Ligue 1 newcomers were subjected to a comprehensive 5-1 rout at Roazhon Park but at least Metz now return to the home surroundings of their Stade Saint-Symphorien for this Friday night's clash with Marseille.

Metz had previously achieved automatic promotion from Ligue 2 at the end of last season with title-winners, Le Havre, and Metz will be desperate to consolidate their domestic top flight status this time around having yo-yo'd between the top two tiers in the past few seasons.

It should also be noted that the defeat away from home at Rennes last week was Metz's first defeat in 29 matches in all competitions and indeed, Metz have put together a solid and impressive sequence of results on home soil as well in recent times.

The hosts are unbeaten in their last 16 matches overall at the Stade Saint-Symphorien, picking up nine wins in the process but goals have been something of a rarity as 10 of Metz's last 16 home games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals as well.

Marseille managed to shrug off a disappointing finish to the end of the last Ligue 1 campaign last weekend when they registered an opening day 2-1 home win against Reims to give manager, Marcelino, the perfect start to his tenure at the club.

Marseille had previously slumped to three defeats on the trot at the end of last season as they suffered losses against Lille, Brest and Ajaccio respectively, which culminated in the sacking of former boss, Igor Tudor, who had likened one season at Marseille was “worth two or three” at other clubs, underlining the difficulties of balancing expectations and reality at the club.

The visitors had also lost their last three away games on the trot as well, therefore making it tough to back Marseille in the straight win markets for this upcoming clash against Metz, but goals (or lack of them) suggest the goals market may be worth a dabble in this fixture.

Metz v Marseille Verdict

Metz will be desperate to produce a much better showing in this opening home game of the season after last weekend's capitulation on the road at Rennes, and the hosts will know that if they're to maintain their Ligue 1 status this season then they must make their Stade Saint-Symphorien resemble something close to being a fortress.

We therefore should expect Metz to batten down the hatches and keep things tight on home soil here on Friday night and given Marseille's poor finish to last season on their travels, the visitors may well be aiming to do the same, thus increasing the chances of a low-scoring tussle.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10

Other side bets worth considering:

Metz win @ 4.33

Correct score: Metz 2-0 @ 21.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
46%
Draw
28%
Away
26%
Voting Is Now Closed
METZ V MARSEILLE HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
375
300
-143
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-143
105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-138
110
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-450
333
DRAW NO BET
1
2
240
-333
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Metz & BTTS Yes
650
Metz & BTTS No
800
Marseille & BTTS Yes
240
Marseille & BTTS No
225
Draw & BTTS Yes
400
Draw & BTTS No
1200
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Metz & Over 2.5
600
Metz & Under 2.5
850
Marseille & Over 2.5
150
Marseille & Under 2.5
350
Draw & Over 2.5
1100
Draw & Under 2.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1400
0-0
1200
0-1
700
2-0
1400
1-1
650
0-2
800
2-1
1400
2-2
1400
1-2
750
3-0
5000
3-3
4000
0-3
1200
3-1
3300
1-3
1200
METZ
MARSEILLE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
D
W
W
L
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
W
METZ
ARennes5-1
HBastia3-2
ASochaux0-1
AGuingamp1-1
HGrenoble1-0
All ResultsHome Results
MARSEILLE
HReims2-1
APanathinaikos1-0
AAC Ajaccio1-0
HBrestois1-2
ALille2-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
METZ
MARSEILLE
POSITION
18th
POS
4th
PLAYED
1
PLAYED
1
WON
0%
0
WON
1
100%
Marseille have won the most games in Ligue 1
Metz have won the fewest games in Ligue 1
DRAWN
0%
0
DRAWN
0
0%
Metz have drawn the fewest games in Ligue 1
Marseille have drawn the fewest games in Ligue 1
LOST
100%
1
LOST
0
0%
Metz have lost the most games in Ligue 1
Marseille have lost the fewest games in Ligue 1
SCORED
1
SCORED
2
CONCEDED
5
CONCEDED
1
Metz have conceded the most goals in Ligue 1
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
METZ
MARSEILLE
PLAYED
0
PLAYED
0
WON
0%
0
WON
0
0%
Metz have won the fewest home games in Ligue 1
Marseille have won the fewest away games in Ligue 1
DRAWN
0%
0
DRAWN
0
0%
Metz have drawn the fewest home games in Ligue 1
Marseille have drawn the fewest away games in Ligue 1
LOST
0%
0
LOST
0
0%
Metz have lost the fewest home games in Ligue 1
Marseille have lost the fewest away games in Ligue 1
SCORED
0
SCORED
0
Metz have scored the fewest goals at home in Ligue 1
Marseille have scored the fewest away goals in Ligue 1
CONCEDED
0
CONCEDED
0
Metz have conceded the fewest goals at home in Ligue 1
Marseille have conceded the fewest away goals in Ligue 1
KEY STATS
METZ
MARSEILLE
PLAYED
1
PLAYED
1
BTTS
100%
1
BTTS
1
100%
Metz are best in Ligue 1 for both teams to score games
Marseille are best in Ligue 1 for both teams to score games
OVER 2.5
100%
1
OVER 2.5
1
100%
Metz are best in Ligue 1 for over 2.5 goals games
Marseille are best in Ligue 1 for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
100%
1
OVER 1.5
1
100%
Metz are best in Ligue 1 for over 1.5 goals games
Marseille are best in Ligue 1 for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
0
CORNERS
4
Marseille are best in Ligue 1 for high corners games
Metz are best in Ligue 1 for low corners games
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