Ligue 1, played Friday, April 5th, 2024
Here is our Lille v Marseille tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Lille home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
Lille registered a 2-1 home win against Lens in the French top flight when the domestic top flight season resumed after the international break last weekend and this result also extended the hosts' unbeaten run to four games in Ligue 1 which has helped Lille into fourth place in the table where they trail third placed Monaco by only three points, while Marseille slumped to a second defeat on the trot following a 2-0 defeat at home to PSG which prevented the visitors from making inroads into the top six pack.
Lille have picked up two wins and two draws within their last four unbeaten games and includes victories recorded over Reims and Lens along with picking up points in stalemates with Rennes and Brest to maintain their quest for a possible Champions League spot for next season.
The hosts know they must continue picking up points though and Paulo Fonseca's side will be eyeing off all three points over their visitors Marseille on Friday night especially as the hosts are unbeaten in their previous 10 home games at their Decathlon Arena, picking up seven wins in the process.
In addition, Lille's solid form at home has been underpinned by a mean defensive unit which has kept six clean sheets in their last 10 home games as well.
Marseille continue to sit on the fringes of the top six pack in the Ligue 1 table as the visitors have slipped to two defeats on the trot, suffering losses at the hands of Rennes and PSG respectively, and although Jean-Louis Gassett's side had previously picked up three wins on the trot by way of wins against Montpellier, Clermont and Nantes, league wins have rather been the exception than the norm for the away side.
Indeed, Marseille have managed just these three wins in their previous 11 league matches overall in the French top flight, two of which were actually registered on home soil at their Orange Vélodrome while poor results away from home have been the catalyst behind the visitors from failing to break into the top six.
The visitors have collected just two wins from their 13 outings on the road throughout the whole of this season's Ligue 1 campaign with wins at Lorient and Clermont who both occupy places in the bottom three of the division, whilst also falling to seven defeats in the process as well, so the prospects of an away win here for Marseille look to be fairly slim.
Lille v Marseille Verdict
The bigger picture shows Lille have been dealt just the single defeat out of their last 29 home games which is an extremely solid record and one that should prove the hosts too strong for the visitors, especially as Lille have won the last three home meetings on the trot as well.
Therefore, our main bet will be Lille win @ 1.85
Other side bets worth considering:
Lille win & Over 2.5 goals @ 3.60
Correct Score: Lille 3-0 @ 21.00
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| H | Lens | 2-1 |
| A | Brestois | 1-1 |
| H | Rennes | 2-2 |
| A | Reims | 0-1 |
| A | Toulouse | 3-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | PSG | 0-2 |
| A | Rennes | 2-0 |
| H | Nantes | 2-0 |
| A | Clermont Foot | 1-5 |
| H | Montpellier | 4-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||