Europa League, played Thursday, March 14th, 2024
Here is our West Ham v Freiburg tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a West Ham home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
West Ham will be chasing down a 1-0 deficit from their 1st leg defeat in Germany of this Round of 16 clash in the Europa League on Thursday night but at least The Hammers will be holding home advantage at their London Stadium as they look to go one step better than Saturday's 2-2 draw at home with lowly Burnley in this return leg, while Freiburg collected a second win on the trot on the weekend in the German Bundesliga courtesy of a 2-1 win away from home at Bochum.
West Ham need to win this 2nd leg tie in the nation's capital on Thursday night if they are to progress through to the quarter-finals of this competition but this may be easier said than done as The Hammers have managed to capture just two wins from their last 12 matches in all competitions which came in the form of wins against Brentford and Everton in the Premier League.
However, David Moyes' side have also been handed five defeats and been involved in five draws a well within this recent period so the straight win market looks a risky prospect here; however, the goals market appeals as six of West Ham's last 10 games overall have resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Freiburg will head over to London for Thursday night's return leg in this Round of 16 Europa League clash looking to make it three wins on the trot in all competitions after picking up recent wins against West Ham (1-0 in the 1st leg) and Bochum in the Bundesliga.
However, the wider picture shows Freiburg have also struggled to gain positive results as the visitors have picked up only three wins from their last 10 games in all competitions which includes a previous win in extra-time over French Ligue 1 side Lens in the previous round of the Europa League whilst also being handed four defeats as well along with three draws.
All four of Freiburg's recent defeats were inflicted upon Christian Streich's side in the domestic top flight with losses incurred against the likes of Werder Bremen, Stuttgart, Borussia Dortmund and Augsburg respectively and these recent losses perhaps suggest this upcoming trip to the London Stadium may be a tough test for the German visitors on Thursday night.
Goals look set to feature here though as no fewer than eight out of Freiburg's last 10 matches in all competitions have produced three goals or more.
West Ham v Freiburg Verdict
Both West Ham and Freiburg have struggled for consistency in recent weeks in their respective competitions but goals look likely here as both teams are more than capable of scoring whilst also possessing shaky defences which should make for an entertaining 2nd leg.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.95
Other side bets worth considering:
West Ham win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.75
Correct Score: West Ham 2-1 @ 8.00
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| H | Burnley | 2-2 |
| A | Freiburg | 1-0 |
| A | Everton | 1-3 |
| H | Brentford | 4-2 |
| A | Nottingham Forest | 2-0 |
| A | VfL Bochum | 1-2 |
| H | West Ham | 1-0 |
| H | Bayern Munich | 2-2 |
| A | Augsburg | 2-1 |
| H | Lens | 3-2 |