Europa League, played Thursday, August 15th, 2024
Here is our Lugano v Partizan Belgrade tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Lugano home win. Our confidence in this tip was low relative to other tips.
Swiss hosts, Lugano, will be looking to protect their one-goal advantage in this upcoming return leg at their Stadio di Cornaredo following last week's narrow 1-0 win away from home at Partizan Belgrade at the Stadion Partizana, while Partizan face a difficult task of recording at least a 2-0 win here in Switzerland in this deciding leg.
Lugano promptly lost their following game though in the Swiss domestic top flight on the weekend when they were handed a 3-2 loss at home to Luzern, so there are certainly no guarantees of success for Mattia Croci-Torti's side as they prepare for Thursday night's encounter.
Indeed, recent results have been a bit of a mixed bag where Lugano have been concerned as the Swiss hosts have picked up six wins but have also been dealt four defeats as well within their last 10 games in all competitions, while results on home soil have also produced inconsistent results.
Five wins and five defeats on home soil at their Stadio di Cornaredo suggest this return leg could go either way but having already accounted for Partizan Belgrade on their travels last week, Lugano will fancy their chances here.
Partizan Belgrade have also produced mixed and inconsistent results in all competitions in recent times as the Serbian visitors have collected four wins, two draws and also four defeats in their last 10 matches overall, and it's interesting to note that three of these four recent wins have been achieved on their travels with wins at Dinamo Moscow, Napredak and Jedinstvo respectively.
However, the bigger picture may just help out in terms of getting a better idea of which Partizan Belgrade side is likely to turn up at the Stadio di Cornaredo for this return leg on Thursday night; the visitors have managed to capture just six wins in their last 20 matches overall.
In addition, the Serbian outfit have collected just four wins in their last 13 outings on the road in all competitions which suggests Aleksandar Stanojevic's side may have their work cut out if they are to overhaul this one-goal deficit on Thursday night.
Partizan have also failed to win any of their last four ties in the Europa League and having lost three of these four games following losses to the likes of Sporting Charleroi, AEK Larnaca and the aforementioned defeat to Lugano, this looks like being a tough trip for the visitors.
Lugano v Partizan Belgrade Verdict
Lugano haven't exactly set the world on fire with previous performances at home in the Europa League as the hosts have won just three of their last eight ties but the hosts should have enough in their locker to get themselves over the line in this deciding leg.
Therefore, our main bet will be Lugano win @ 1.60
Other side bets worth considering:
Lugano win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.50
Correct Score: Lugano 1-0 @ 8.50
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| H | Lucerne | 2-3 |
| A | Partizan Belgrade | 0-1 |
| H | Servette | 3-1 |
| A | Fenerbahce | 2-1 |
| A | Basle | 1-2 |
| A | IMT Novi Beograd | 0-0 |
| H | Lugano | 0-1 |
| H | Zeleznicar Pancevo | 2-0 |
| H | Dynamo Kiev | 0-3 |
| A | Jedinstvo Ub | 0-4 |