Newcastle v Liverpool

Premier League, played Saturday, February 18th, 2023

Here is our Newcastle v Liverpool tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a draw. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Newcastle v Liverpool Preview

The evening kick-off in Saturday's fixtures in the Premier League features this intriguing contest between fourth placed Newcastle United and their ninth placed visitors, Liverpool, when the two teams clash at St James' Park with both sides looking to further boost their claims for a possible European spot next season.

Perhaps surprisingly, of the two clubs it's Newcastle United that look to be in the stronger position of achieving a top four finish this term as The Magpies already occupy a place in the top four, two points ahead of Tottenham and a significant nine points above visitors, Liverpool.

This season's Premier League campaign has been nothing short of amazing for Newcastle United and their fans as previous expectations had been mid-table mediocrity at best, fighting relegation at worst, so the direction the club are heading under manager, Eddie Howe, has seen an astonishing transformation.

The Magpies have suffered just the one defeat all season to date, perhaps ironically, a 2-1 loss away from home at Saturday's opponents, Liverpool, but Newcastle United have since put together an unbeaten run of 17 matches in subsequent months and the hosts have been a very tough team to beat.

Liverpool returned to winning ways in the English top flight on Monday evening when they recorded a 2-0 home win over Everton in the Merseyside derby which also put an end to a previously worrying four-game winless run in the Premier League.

Just as concerning was the fact that Liverpool had failed to score in three of these last four games and their lack of firepower in front of goal cost them recent defeats to Brentford, Brighton and Wolves, each of which were away from home.

Liverpool had previously racked up four league wins on the trot in the form of victories over Tottenham, Southampton, Aston Villa and Leicester City but The Reds' form away from home has seen a sharp decline in fortunes as the visitors have managed to muster just two wins out of their last 10 outings on the road.

Having also lost six of these 10 away games, Jurgen Klopp may well be happy to see his side unscathed when they make their way to the north-east especially as Liverpool have managed to keep just one clean sheet on their travels so far in this campaign.

Newcastle United v Liverpool Verdict

Five of Newcastle United's last six league games have resulted in stalemate and although Liverpool have held the upper hand in recent exchanges, winning eight out of the last 10 meetings, Newcastle are a very different prospect under Eddie Howe and The Magpies look in good shape to get something from this encounter.

Liverpool obviously still carry a serious threat up front as the likes of Mo Salah and Roberto Firmino lead their goalscoring charts this term but the visitors' suspect defence remains a major concern for Klopp and this could have a bearing on Saturday's result.

Therefore, our main bet will be Draw @ 3.50

Other side bets worth considering:

Draw & Both Teams To Score Yes @ 4.33

Correct score: 2-2 @ 13.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Draw
2-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
35%
Draw
37%
Away
28%
Voting Is Now Closed
NEWCASTLE V LIVERPOOL HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
145
240
180
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-150
110
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-125
100
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-400
300
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-138
100
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Newcastle & BTTS Yes
375
Newcastle & BTTS No
350
Liverpool & BTTS Yes
400
Liverpool & BTTS No
400
Draw & BTTS Yes
333
Draw & BTTS No
1100
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Newcastle & Over 2.5
275
Newcastle & Under 2.5
500
Liverpool & Over 2.5
333
Liverpool & Under 2.5
550
Draw & Over 2.5
1000
Draw & Under 2.5
350
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1100
0-0
1100
0-1
1000
2-0
1100
1-1
600
0-2
1600
2-1
1000
2-2
1400
1-2
1100
3-0
2500
3-3
4000
0-3
3300
3-1
2000
1-3
2200
NEWCASTLE
LIVERPOOL
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
W
D
D
D
LAST 5
L
L
D
L
W
NEWCASTLE
ABournemouth1-1
HWest Ham1-1
ACrystal Palace0-0
HFulham1-0
AArsenal0-0
LIVERPOOL
HEverton2-0
AWolves3-0
HChelsea0-0
ABrighton3-0
ABrentford3-1
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
NEWCASTLE
LIVERPOOL
POSITION
4th
POS
9th
PLAYED
22
PLAYED
21
WON
45%
10
WON
9
41%
Newcastle are 3 games since a win
DRAWN
50%
11
DRAWN
5
23%
Newcastle have drawn the most games in the Premier League
Newcastle have drawn 3 games in a row
LOST
5%
1
LOST
7
32%
Newcastle have lost the fewest games in the Premier League
Newcastle are 17 games since a loss
SCORED
35
SCORED
36
Newcastle have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
28
Newcastle have conceded the fewest goals in the Premier League
Newcastle have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 17 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
NEWCASTLE
LIVERPOOL
PLAYED
11
PLAYED
10
WON
55%
6
WON
2
20%
Liverpool are 3 games since an away win
DRAWN
45%
5
DRAWN
2
20%
Newcastle have drawn the most home games in the Premier League
Liverpool are 7 games since an away draw
LOST
0%
0
LOST
6
60%
Newcastle have lost the fewest home games in the Premier League
Liverpool have lost 3 away games in a row
SCORED
19
SCORED
11
Newcastle have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 home games
Liverpool have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
6
CONCEDED
19
Newcastle have conceded the fewest goals at home in the Premier League
Liverpool have conceded in their last 7 away games
Newcastle have not conceded 2 or more in their last 9 home games
KEY STATS
NEWCASTLE
LIVERPOOL
PLAYED
22
PLAYED
21
BTTS
45%
10
BTTS
12
57%
OVER 2.5
36%
8
OVER 2.5
14
67%
Liverpool are best in the Premier League for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
59%
13
OVER 1.5
16
76%
Newcastle are best in the Premier League for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
10.9
CORNERS
9.8
Newcastle are best in the Premier League for high corners games
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