Chelsea v Newcastle

Premier League, played Sunday, May 28th, 2023

Here is our Chelsea v Newcastle tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Chelsea home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Chelsea vs Newcastle Preview

Chelsea have one more chance to ever so slightly redeem themselves when they entertain Newcastle United at Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon as the hosts look to finish what has been one of the most forgettable Premier League campaigns as soon as possible.

A heavy 4-1 defeat away from home at Old Trafford against Manchester United on Thursday night saw Chelsea sink to a new low under caretaker-manager Frank Lampard and The Blues have now managed to capture just one win from their last 11 matches overall in the Premier League, that being a 3-1 win away at Bournemouth.

However, seven defeats within this period has resulted in Chelsea dropping down to 12th place and even if The Blues win against Newcastle United on Sunday, they will ‘achieve' the lowest league position for the last 20 years in the Premier League - something Frank Lampard will not want to be associated with!

Chelsea will certainly want to set the record straight here though as the hosts have managed just one home win in their last nine attempts.

Newcastle United finally got themselves over the line and secured a top four finish in this season's Premier League campaign when they drew 0-0 at home with Leicester City at St James Park but although The Magpies enjoyed the lions share of possession and attempts on goal, The Foxes could have nicked all three points at the death.

Nevertheless, a monumental achievement for Newcastle United and manager, Eddie Howe, whose credentials have been boosted no end by what has been an excellent campaign and the huge and obvious relief after securing that decisive point against Leicester City was there for all to see.

Although Newcastle have lost just twice in their last 13 matches, The Magpies will be wary of a case of ‘after the Lord Mayor's show' as their season is now effectively done and mission accomplished, and this could leave the door slightly ajar for Chelsea to exploit.

In addition, Newcastle United have won just four of their last 10 away games in the Premier League, so the visitors aren't exactly looking like nailed-on favourites to win this clash.

Chelsea v Newcastle United Verdict

It has been a season of contrasting fortunes for Chelsea and Newcastle United but despite the apparent gulf between the two sides this term, this upcoming fixture looks set to produce a low-scoring affair as six of the previous seven meetings have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and this clash may be no exception, while Chelsea have won each of the last 10 meetings at home against The Magpies.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10

Other side bets worth considering:

Chelsea win @ 2.90

Correct score: Chelsea 1-0 @ 13.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
42%
Draw
35%
Away
23%
Voting Is Now Closed
CHELSEA V NEWCASTLE HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
210
275
115
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-200
150
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-175
137
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-600
400
DRAW NO BET
1
2
125
-175
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Chelsea & BTTS Yes
400
Chelsea & BTTS No
550
Newcastle & BTTS Yes
260
Newcastle & BTTS No
350
Draw & BTTS Yes
333
Draw & BTTS No
1600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Chelsea & Over 3.5
650
Chelsea & Under 3.5
375
Newcastle & Over 3.5
375
Newcastle & Under 3.5
250
Draw & Over 3.5
800
Draw & Under 3.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1400
0-0
1600
0-1
1100
2-0
1400
1-1
700
0-2
1400
2-1
1100
2-2
1200
1-2
900
3-0
3300
3-3
4000
0-3
2200
3-1
2200
1-3
1600
CHELSEA
NEWCASTLE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
D
L
L
LAST 5
W
L
D
W
D
CHELSEA
AMan Utd4-1
AMan City1-0
HNottingham Forest2-2
ABournemouth1-3
AArsenal3-1
All ResultsHome Results
NEWCASTLE
HLeicester0-0
HBrighton4-1
ALeeds2-2
HArsenal0-2
HSouthampton3-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
CHELSEA
NEWCASTLE
POSITION
12th
POS
4th
PLAYED
37
PLAYED
37
WON
30%
11
WON
19
51%
Chelsea are 3 games since a win
DRAWN
27%
10
DRAWN
13
35%
LOST
43%
16
LOST
5
14%
Newcastle are 3 games since a loss
SCORED
37
SCORED
67
CONCEDED
46
CONCEDED
32
Newcastle have conceded the fewest goals in the Premier League
Chelsea have conceded in their last 8 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
CHELSEA
NEWCASTLE
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
33%
6
WON
8
44%
Chelsea are 6 games since a home win
DRAWN
33%
6
DRAWN
7
39%
LOST
33%
6
LOST
3
17%
Newcastle have lost the fewest away games in the Premier League
SCORED
19
SCORED
31
CONCEDED
18
CONCEDED
18
Chelsea have conceded in their last 3 home games
Newcastle have conceded in their last 8 away games
KEY STATS
CHELSEA
NEWCASTLE
PLAYED
37
PLAYED
37
BTTS
46%
17
BTTS
19
51%
OVER 2.5
43%
16
OVER 2.5
18
49%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
24
OVER 1.5
27
73%
Chelsea are best in the Premier League for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
10
CORNERS
11
Newcastle are best in the Premier League for high corners games
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