Chelsea v Burnley

Premier League, played Saturday, March 30th, 2024

Here is our Chelsea v Burnley tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Chelsea home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Chelsea vs Burnley Preview

Chelsea registered a morale-boosting 3-2 home win against Newcastle United to head into the international break on the back of a four-match unbeaten run in the English top flight but the London club still remain in a disappointing mid-table position of 11th place in the Premier League table, while Burnley also produced a rare three points last time out as Vincent Kompany's side recorded a welcome 2-1 home win against Brentford which kept The Clarets within five points of safety.

Chelsea's current four-game unbeaten run includes wins against Crystal Palace and the aforementioned Newcastle United along with picking up points in draws with Manchester City and Brentford while the most impressive aspect of this run is that three of these four games were away from home as well.

Mauricio Pochettino's side will therefore be keen to return to Stamford Bridge where they'll be eyeing off another three points against strugglers Burnley in an aim to produce at least a top half finish in what has been a difficult and testing season for The Blues.

The bigger picture shows Chelsea have lost just twice in their last nine games overall in the top flight along with collecting five wins in the process and the hosts have also won five of their last six games at Stamford Bridge as well.

Burnley continue to fight bravely against the tide of possible relegation down to the Championship and The Clarets handed themselves a lifeline by recording a 2-1 home win against Brentford just before the international break to make it four points from their last two games.

A previous 2-2 draw away from home at West Ham also gave the Lancashire club encouragement for the final push in this latter stage of the Premier League campaign and Burnley will be hoping they can get something from this next foray into the nation's capital on Saturday afternoon.

However, Burnley have managed to capture just one win from their last 11 games in the English top flight and having slipped to a total of seven defeats within this period as well, four of these losses being incurred on their travels, the visitors look to be up against it once more on the road at Stamford Bridge.

Defeats at Aston Villa, Manchester City, Liverpool and most damaging of all, a 3-0 loss away at Crystal Palace do not bode well for this upcoming encounter against a seemingly upward mobile Chelsea outfit.

Chelsea v Burnley Verdict

Chelsea have held the upper hand over Burnley in no uncertain terms in previous exchanges as The Blues are unbeaten in their last 10 meetings which includes recording no fewer than eight wins within this period, so the hosts look in good shape to extend their unbeaten run here.

Therefore, our main bet will be Chelsea win & Over 2 goals @ 1.70

Other side bets worth considering:

BTTS No @ 1.95

Correct Score: Chelsea 3-0 @ 9.50

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
51%
Draw
31%
Away
18%
Voting Is Now Closed
CHELSEA V BURNLEY HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-350
500
850
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-275
210
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-700
450
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-1000
600
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Chelsea & BTTS Yes
162
Chelsea & BTTS No
125
Burnley & BTTS Yes
1200
Burnley & BTTS No
1600
Draw & BTTS Yes
600
Draw & BTTS No
1800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Chelsea & Over 3.5
150
Chelsea & Under 3.5
137
Burnley & Over 3.5
2500
Burnley & Under 3.5
900
Draw & Over 3.5
1600
Draw & Under 3.5
650
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
850
0-0
1800
0-1
2500
2-0
850
1-1
1100
0-2
5000
2-1
900
2-2
2200
1-2
2500
3-0
850
3-3
6600
0-3
12500
3-1
1100
1-3
6600
CHELSEA
BURNLEY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
D
D
W
LAST 5
L
L
L
D
W
CHELSEA
HNewcastle3-2
ABrentford2-2
AMan City1-1
ACrystal Palace1-3
HWolves2-4
All ResultsHome Results
BURNLEY
HBrentford2-1
AWest Ham2-2
HBournemouth0-2
ACrystal Palace3-0
HArsenal0-5
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
CHELSEA
BURNLEY
POSITION
11th
POS
19th
PLAYED
27
PLAYED
29
WON
41%
11
WON
4
15%
DRAWN
22%
6
DRAWN
5
19%
LOST
37%
10
LOST
20
74%
Burnley have lost the most games in the Premier League
Chelsea are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
47
SCORED
29
Chelsea have scored in their last 11 games
CONCEDED
45
CONCEDED
63
Chelsea have conceded in their last 6 games
Burnley have conceded in their last 11 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
CHELSEA
BURNLEY
PLAYED
13
PLAYED
14
WON
46%
6
WON
2
14%
Burnley are 5 games since an away win
DRAWN
23%
3
DRAWN
3
21%
Chelsea are 6 games since a home draw
LOST
31%
4
LOST
9
64%
SCORED
23
SCORED
14
Chelsea have scored in their last 7 home games
CONCEDED
20
CONCEDED
28
Burnley have conceded in their last 5 away games
KEY STATS
CHELSEA
BURNLEY
PLAYED
27
PLAYED
29
BTTS
67%
18
BTTS
16
55%
OVER 2.5
63%
17
OVER 2.5
18
62%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
85%
23
OVER 1.5
27
93%
CORNERS
9.7
CORNERS
10.8
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