Premier League, played Sunday, May 5th, 2024
Here is our Brighton v Aston Villa tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa away win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Brighton slipped to a second defeat on the trot in the Premier League last weekend when The Seagulls were handed a heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Bournemouth which has resulted in Roberto de Zerbi's side dropping down the top flight table to 12th place, while Aston Villa maintained their fourth place position with a point earned in a 2-2 draw at home with Chelsea and the visitors know that another win here on Sunday would see them take a huge step towards claiming a Champions League spot.
Brighton head into Sunday afternoon's clash against Aston Villa having failed to win any of their last six matches overall in the English top flight which includes four defeats dealt to them by the likes of Liverpool, Arsenal, Manchester City and Bournemouth and although The Seagulls have picked up points in draws with Brentford and Burnley, these were both achieved away from home and have been far outweighed by their recent losses.
The bigger picture shows Brighton have been unable to maintain their impressive start to this Premier League campaign which produced five wins from their opening six games of the season, as the hosts have registered just three wins out of their last 15 games overall, while suffering seven defeats in the process.
Aston Villa extended their unbeaten run to four games with a 2-2 draw at home with Chelsea last weekend and having previously collected wins against Arsenal and Bournemouth along with a previous point in a draw with Brentford, the west midlands club bring some promising form into this upcoming trip to the AMEX Stadium.
Indeed, Aston Villa have been dealt just two defeats out of their last 11 matches overall in the Premier League whilst picking up six wins within this period which have helped keep Unai Emery's side in contention for a top four finish and Champions League football next season.
Three of these aforementioned six wins have been achieved on their travels at Fulham, Luton Town and most impressive of all, a 2-0 victory over the current league leaders Arsenal at the Emirates Stadium, so the visitors will be in confident mood that they can produce another positive result down on the south coast on Sunday as well.
Results away from home have also been encouraging for The Villains as they have been handed just two defeats in their last 11 outings on the road as well, thus making them slight favourites to take all three points at the AMEX Stadium.
Brighton v Aston Villa Verdict
Aston Villa have won five of the last six meetings against Brighton but Villa know they must keep picking up points as Tottenham have two games in hand over them.
Therefore, our main bet will be Aston Villa win @ 2.30
Other side bets worth considering:
Aston Villa win & Under 3.5 goals @ 4.00
Correct Score: Aston Villa 1-0 @ 15.00
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| A | Bournemouth | 3-0 |
| H | Man City | 0-4 |
| A | Burnley | 1-1 |
| H | Arsenal | 0-3 |
| A | Brentford | 0-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Chelsea | 2-2 |
| H | Bournemouth | 3-1 |
| A | Arsenal | 0-2 |
| H | Brentford | 3-3 |
| A | Man City | 4-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||