Aston Villa v Brighton

Premier League, played Monday, December 30th, 2024

Here is our Aston Villa v Brighton tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Aston Villa home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Aston Villa vs Brighton Preview

Aston Villa's inconsistent results in the Premier League continued on Boxing Day when The Villans were handed a heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Newcastle United which became a second defeat in three games for Unai Emery's side leaving Villa in ninth place in the English top flight table.

Brighton's winless run in the domestic top flight was extended to six games following a dour 0-0 stalemate at home with Brentford on Friday night and The Seagulls now have to make their way to the west midlands for Monday night's clash with Aston Villa.

Despite dropping down the Premier League to ninth place, Aston Villa still only trail the top five pack and the European spots by a single point and given Brighton's recent winless sequence in the top flight, Unai Emery's side will be confident that they can bounce back from their recent losses on the road when they return to Villa Park on Monday night.

Although they lost at both Nottingham Forest and Newcastle United away from home, Aston Villa have racked up wins in each of their last three home games with important victories gained over the likes of Brentford, Southampton and Manchester City which have kept the west midlands hosts in the frame for a possible European spot.

Brighton have now failed to win any of their last six games overall in the English top flight having drawn four and lost twice; points picked up in draws with Southampton, Leicester City, West Ham and Brentford have been overshadowed by losses at the hands of Fulham and Crystal Palace.

The bigger picture shows the south coast visitors have managed to capture just four wins from their previous 16 matches overall which consist of wins against Tottenham, Newcastle United, Manchester City and Bournemouth but also includes eight draws and four defeats as well.

The Seagulls had previously started this Premier League campaign with back-to-back wins against Everton and Manchester United respectively but inconsistent results away from home have undone Brighton's solid performances on home soil at the AMEX Stadium which has seen them lose just once at home all season.

Indeed, Brighton's form away from home so far in this season's Premier League campaign has yielded three wins, three draws but also three defeats, so therefore the prospects of an away win at Villa Park may hang in the balance somewhat.

Aston Villa v Brighton Verdict

Although both teams head into this clash on the back of some ordinary results, previous history between Aston Villa and Brighton has shown Villa have held the upper hand over their upcoming south coast visitors having picked up five wins out of the last seven encounters and the hosts look the more likely here as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Aston Villa win @ 1.95

Other side bets worth considering:

Aston Villa win & Under 2.5 goals @ 6.00 Correct Score: Aston Villa 2-0 @ 12.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
61%
Draw
27%
Away
12%
Voting Is Now Closed
ASTON VILLA V BRIGHTON HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
105
260
240
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-175
125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-163
130
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-500
350
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-188
137
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Aston Villa & BTTS Yes
260
Aston Villa & BTTS No
300
Brighton & BTTS Yes
450
Brighton & BTTS No
600
Draw & BTTS Yes
350
Draw & BTTS No
1400
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Aston Villa & Over 2.5
187
Aston Villa & Under 2.5
500
Brighton & Over 2.5
375
Brighton & Under 2.5
750
Draw & Over 2.5
850
Draw & Under 2.5
450
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1000
0-0
1400
0-1
1400
2-0
1000
1-1
700
0-2
2000
2-1
850
2-2
1200
1-2
1200
3-0
2000
3-3
4000
0-3
4000
3-1
1600
1-3
2500
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
L
W
L
LAST 5
L
D
L
D
D
ASTON VILLA
ANewcastle3-0
HMan City2-1
ANottingham Forest2-1
HSouthampton1-0
HBrentford3-1
All ResultsHome Results
BRIGHTON
HBrentford0-0
AWest Ham1-1
HCrystal Palace1-3
ALeicester2-2
AFulham3-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
POSITION
9th
POS
10th
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
44%
8
WON
6
33%
Brighton are 6 games since a win
DRAWN
22%
4
DRAWN
8
44%
Brighton have drawn the most games in the Premier League
Aston Villa are 6 games since a draw
LOST
33%
6
LOST
4
22%
SCORED
26
SCORED
27
Brighton have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
29
CONCEDED
26
Aston Villa have conceded in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
9
WON
56%
5
WON
3
33%
Brighton are 3 games since an away win
Aston Villa have won 3 home games in a row
DRAWN
33%
3
DRAWN
3
33%
Aston Villa are 3 games since a home draw
LOST
11%
1
LOST
3
33%
SCORED
15
SCORED
14
Aston Villa have scored in their last 5 home games
Brighton have scored in all away games this season
CONCEDED
10
CONCEDED
14
Brighton have conceded in their last 5 away games
Aston Villa have not conceded 2 or more in their last 3 home games
KEY STATS
ASTON VILLA
BRIGHTON
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
BTTS
67%
12
BTTS
14
78%
OVER 2.5
72%
13
OVER 2.5
12
67%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
89%
16
OVER 1.5
15
83%
CORNERS
9.7
CORNERS
9.9
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