Northampton v Derby

League One, played Saturday, March 23rd, 2024

Here is our Northampton v Derby tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Derby away win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Northampton vs Derby Preview

Northampton Town were dealt a 2-0 defeat away from home at Wycombe Wanderers last Saturday in League One which became a third defeat in four games for The Cobblers and left the hosts sitting in 14th place in the third tier table while Derby County climbed into second place in the table at the expense of promotion rivals Bolton Wanderers thanks to a narrow 1-0 home win against the Lancashire club last weekend.

Northampton Town have now failed to win any of their last five games overall in League One following draws with Charlton Athletic and Cambridge United but they have also slipped to losses at the hands of Peterborough United, Blackpool and the aforementioned Wycombe Wanderers as well.

Following promotion from League Two at the end of last season, Northampton Town's top priority in this campaign would have been to consolidate their League One status which for the large part The Cobblers have achieved although having managed to capture just two wins from their last 12 matches overall, the hosts look vulnerable against an in-form Derby County this Saturday.

Victories against Bristol Rovers and Burton Albion have been outweighed by suffering six defeats within this 12-match sequence.

Derby County racked up a fourth league win on the trot last Saturday with a precious 1-0 home win against fellow high-flyers Bolton Wanderers which followed previous important wins against Port Vale, Bristol Rovers and Reading respectively, giving The Rams plenty of reasons to be upbeat about their chances of securing a fifth win on the trot at Sixfields Stadium.

Derby County had experienced a mini wobble beforehand as The Rams slipped to back-to-back losses against Barnsley and Charlton Athletic but the bigger picture shows the east midlands club have suffered just three defeats from their last 15 games overall in the English third tier.

Within this period, Paul Warne's side have also collected no fewer than 10 wins thus making the visitors favourites to take all three points here at Sixfields Stadium against a lacklustre looking Northampton Town outfit.

In addition, Derby have lost just twice in their last 11 outings on the road in League One along with picking up eight wins along the way as well which should stand The Rams in good stead for this Saturday's relatively short trip to Northampton as the visitors look to pull away from third placed Bolton Wanderers with all three points here.

Northampton Town v Derby County Verdict

Derby County have held the upper hand over their hosts Northampton Town in previous meetings as The Rams have collected four wins from their last six encounters and number five victory looks set to be on the cards this Saturday at Sixfields Stadium.

Therefore, our main bet will be Derby County win @ 1.66

Other side bets worth considering:

Derby County win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.60

Correct Score: Derby County 1-0 @ 6.50

TIP
Large Stake on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
20%
Draw
34%
Away
46%
Voting Is Now Closed
NORTHAMPTON V DERBY HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
600
280
-188
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
110
-150
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
115
-150
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-300
225
DRAW NO BET
1
2
400
-600
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Northampton & BTTS Yes
1200
Northampton & BTTS No
900
Derby & BTTS Yes
300
Derby & BTTS No
125
Draw & BTTS Yes
450
Draw & BTTS No
800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Northampton & Over 2.5
1200
Northampton & Under 2.5
1000
Derby & Over 2.5
160
Derby & Under 2.5
225
Draw & Over 2.5
1800
Draw & Under 2.5
350
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
1400
0-0
750
0-1
500
2-0
1400
1-1
600
0-2
550
2-1
2000
2-2
1800
1-2
750
3-0
6600
3-3
6600
0-3
1000
3-1
5000
1-3
1400
NORTHAMPTON
DERBY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
L
D
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
W
NORTHAMPTON
AWycombe2-0
HBlackpool0-1
ACambridge Utd1-1
APeterborough5-1
HCharlton1-1
All ResultsHome Results
DERBY
HBolton1-0
HReading2-1
ABristol Rovers0-3
HPort Vale3-0
HCharlton1-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
NORTHAMPTON
DERBY
POSITION
14th
POS
2nd
PLAYED
39
PLAYED
39
WON
36%
14
WON
24
62%
Derby have won the most games in League One
Northampton are 5 games since a win
Derby have won 4 games in a row
DRAWN
21%
8
DRAWN
6
15%
Derby are 8 games since a draw
LOST
44%
17
LOST
9
23%
Derby are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
50
SCORED
69
Derby have scored in their last 11 games
Northampton have not scored in their last 2 games
Northampton have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
60
CONCEDED
34
Northampton have conceded in their last 5 games
Derby have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
NORTHAMPTON
DERBY
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
WON
42%
8
WON
12
63%
Derby have won the most away games in League One
DRAWN
26%
5
DRAWN
2
11%
Derby are 5 games since an away draw
LOST
32%
6
LOST
5
26%
SCORED
25
SCORED
34
Derby have scored in their last 4 away games
CONCEDED
21
CONCEDED
16
Northampton have conceded in their last 6 home games
Northampton have not conceded 2 or more in their last 4 home games
KEY STATS
NORTHAMPTON
DERBY
PLAYED
39
PLAYED
39
BTTS
56%
22
BTTS
20
51%
OVER 2.5
56%
22
OVER 2.5
23
59%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
79%
31
OVER 1.5
29
74%
CORNERS
8.4
CORNERS
10.8
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