Championship, played Saturday, August 10th, 2024
Here is our Millwall v Watford tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Millwall home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
An impressive five-match winning streak in the final weeks leading up to the end of last season's Championship campaign proved to be Millwall's salvation as The Lions lifted themselves up to an eventual finish of 13th place in the English second tier standings, while Watford finished two league places and three points below their upcoming opponents in this opening game of the season at The Den.
From the turn of the new year through to the end of the season, Millwall blew hot and cold in the second tier as The Lions collected nine wins but also slipped to a total of nine defeats as well which had landed the London club in serious danger of falling through the trap-door down to League One.
Three defeats within their preceding four games to Leeds United, Rotherham United and Huddersfield Town had seemingly plunged Millwall into a relegation dogfight but Neil Harris's side somehow picked themselves up and racked up five vital wins on the trot against Leicester City, Cardiff City, Sunderland, Plymouth Argyle and Swansea City respectively to seal their Championship status for another season.
Millwall finished last season with an unbeaten run of six games at The Den, picking up five wins in the process but goals may be hard to come by here as no fewer than 14 of Millwall's 23 home games resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Watford produced yet another frustrating but ultimately disappointing campaign in the Championship last season as The Hornets could only manage a 15th place finish in the second tier.
The previous campaign resulted in Watford finishing in 11th place and manager Tom Cleverley has the unenviable task of not only lifting Watford back up into the play-off pack this season but to also reach the promised land of the Premier League.
However, having managed to pick up just three wins in their final 19 league matches of last term, two of which were registered against two of the three relegated sides, Rotherham United and Birmingham City, The Hornets look likely to miss out once again this season.
Eight defeats within these last 19 games suggests Tom Cleverley will be demanding greater consistency in this upcoming season especially away from home as his side managed to collect just two wins within their final 10 outings on the road including finishing up on back-to-back defeats on their travels at Southampton and Middlesbrough.
In addition, six of Watford's last 10 away games also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored as well.
Millwall v Watford Verdict
Goals certainly look to be at a premium for this upcoming clash as six of the last eight meetings between Millwall and Watford have resulted in Under 2.5 goals, while Millwall may just sneak a narrow 1-0 win here.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.60
Other side bets worth considering:
Millwall win @ 2.30
Correct Score: Millwall win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.33
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| A | Swansea | 0-1 |
| H | Plymouth | 1-0 |
| A | Sunderland | 0-1 |
| H | Cardiff | 3-1 |
| H | Leicester | 1-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| A | Middlesbrough | 3-1 |
| H | Sunderland | 1-0 |
| H | Hull | 0-0 |
| A | Southampton | 3-2 |
| A | Ipswich | 0-0 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||