Luton v Derby

Championship, played Friday, December 20th, 2024

Here is our Luton v Derby tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Luton home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Luton vs Derby Preview

Luton Town will be relieved to be returning to the more familiar surroundings of their Kenilworth Road ground for Friday night's encounter against Derby County in the Championship after being handed a 2-0 defeat away from home at high-flying Blackburn Rovers last Saturday.

Derby County returned to winning ways in the Championship last weekend with an emphatic 4-0 thrashing at home against Portsmouth which has lifted The Rams up into 14th place in the Championship table and the east midlands club will be hoping for more of the same on Friday night.

Luton Town have achieved a smattering of wins so far in this season's Championship campaign as The Hatters have picked up six wins to date within their total of 21 league matches played so far this term, five of which have been captured on home soil at Kenilworth Road.

Although results away from home have been disastrous, winning just once in their 10 away games to date, Luton Town do at least stand a chance of getting something out of this Friday night encounter as Rob Edwards's side have lost just three games whilst collecting five wins along with being unbeaten in their last five games as well.

Derby County ended a rather barren looking spell of six games without a win in the English second tier last weekend with the aforementioned rousing 4-0 home win against Portsmouth but the bigger picture still suggests The Rams may struggle here on Friday night.

Indeed, Derby County have managed to capture just three wins from their last 16 matches overall in the Championship, two of which were registered on home soil at Pride Park whilst also being handed seven defeats as well.

Derby County's singular success on their travels of late came in the form of a 2-1 win away from home at Coventry City but this has been Derby's only real highlight so far on their travels upon their return to the Championship.

The Rams have really struggled away from home for some time now at this level as Paul Warne's side have registered just two wins from their previous 22 outings on the road, slipping to no fewer than 15 defeats within this period as well.

To make matters worse, Derby County have managed to keep just two clean sheets within their previous 22 away games in the Championship and this does not appear to bode well for this upcoming trip to Kenilworth Road to take on Luton Town.

Luton Town v Derby County Verdict

Luton Town have won each of their previous three meetings at home against Derby County and the hosts look to be well equipped to gain another three points at The Rams' expense here on Friday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be Luton Town win @ 2.15

Other side bets worth considering:

Luton Town win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.33

Correct Score: Luton Town 1-0 @ 7.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
56%
Draw
30%
Away
14%
Voting Is Now Closed
LUTON V DERBY HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
115
210
260
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-138
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
130
-163
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
175
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Luton & BTTS Yes
400
Luton & BTTS No
240
Derby & BTTS Yes
700
Derby & BTTS No
450
Draw & BTTS Yes
375
Draw & BTTS No
650
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Luton & Over 2.5
300
Luton & Under 2.5
300
Derby & Over 2.5
600
Derby & Under 2.5
550
Draw & Over 2.5
1400
Draw & Under 2.5
275
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
550
0-0
700
0-1
800
2-0
550
1-1
500
0-2
1600
2-1
800
2-2
1600
1-2
1200
3-0
1800
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
1800
1-3
3300
LUTON
DERBY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
L
D
W
L
LAST 5
L
L
L
D
W
LUTON
ABlackburn2-0
HStoke2-1
HSwansea1-1
ANorwich4-2
ALeeds3-0
All ResultsHome Results
DERBY
HPortsmouth4-0
ABurnley0-0
ALeeds2-0
HSheffield Wednesday1-2
HSwansea1-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
LUTON
DERBY
POSITION
19th
POS
14th
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
WON
29%
6
WON
6
29%
DRAWN
19%
4
DRAWN
6
29%
Luton have drawn the fewest games in the Championship
LOST
52%
11
LOST
9
43%
Luton have lost the most games in the Championship
SCORED
23
SCORED
26
CONCEDED
37
CONCEDED
26
Luton have conceded in their last 5 games
Derby have kept clean sheets in their last 2 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
LUTON
DERBY
PLAYED
11
PLAYED
11
WON
45%
5
WON
1
9%
Derby are 3 games since an away win
DRAWN
27%
3
DRAWN
4
36%
LOST
27%
3
LOST
6
55%
SCORED
16
SCORED
9
Luton have scored in all home games this season
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 away games
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
17
Luton have not conceded 2 or more in their last 5 home games
KEY STATS
LUTON
DERBY
PLAYED
21
PLAYED
21
BTTS
57%
12
BTTS
12
57%
OVER 2.5
57%
12
OVER 2.5
9
43%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
16
OVER 1.5
17
81%
CORNERS
11.1
CORNERS
10.8
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