Burnley v Derby

Championship, played Tuesday, December 10th, 2024

Here is our Burnley v Derby tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Burnley home win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Burnley vs Derby County Preview

Burnley will be looking to extend their unbeaten run in the Championship to seven games when they play host to Derby County at Turf Moor on Tuesday night following a 1-1 draw at home with Middlesbrough on the weekend, while five of Burnley's last six games overall have seen the hosts keep a clean sheet as well.

Derby County slipped to a third defeat on the trot in the English second tier over the weekend when The Rams were dealt an almost expected 2-0 defeat away from home at the Championship league leaders, Leeds United, leaving the east midlands club in 16th place in the table.

Within Burnley's solid looking six-match unbeaten sequence in the domestic second tier, The Clarets have collected important wins against Swansea City, Bristol City, Coventry City and Stoke City respectively along with useful points gained in draws with West Brom and Middlesbrough.

The hosts have been dealt just two defeats so far in this season's Championship campaign, both of which were incurred on their travels at Sunderland and Millwall, but solid results on home soil at Turf Moor have ensured Scott Parker's side still remain unbeaten in their own backyard.

Five wins along with four draws indicate how tough Burnley have been to face at Turf Moor, as well as keeping six clean sheets within their nine home games to date this term.

Derby County stumbled to a third league defeat on the trot in the Championship on Saturday when Paul Warne's side were dealt a 2-0 loss in Yorkshire against Leeds United at Elland Road, which also followed previous losses at the hands of Swansea City and Sheffield Wednesday.

Indeed, Derby County have had to endure a rather barren looking spell in recent times in the Championship as The Rams have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 14 matches overall in the English second tier.

In addition, Derby County have also been handed seven defeats as well within this period so the prospects of an away win here do seem to be slim at best, especially as the east midlands visitors have registered just the single win on the road all season to date.

Having also slumped to six defeats within their 10 away games so far this season as well, this does not appear to bode well for this upcoming visit to Turf Moor as The Rams have also failed to keep a single clean sheet on their travels so far in this Championship campaign.

Burnley v Derby County Verdict

Burnley have held the upper hand over Derby County in no uncertain fashion in previous exchanges as The Clarets have picked up eight wins out of the last 10 encounters, and the hosts once again look in control here as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Burnley win @ 1.65

Other side bets worth considering:

Burnley win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.25

Correct Score: Burnley 2-0 @ 6.50

TIP
Large Stake on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
71%
Draw
21%
Away
8%
Voting Is Now Closed
BURNLEY V DERBY HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-163
260
500
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
162
-225
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
162
-200
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-188
150
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-500
333
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Burnley & BTTS Yes
400
Burnley & BTTS No
120
Derby & BTTS Yes
1400
Derby & BTTS No
700
Draw & BTTS Yes
500
Draw & BTTS No
550
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Burnley & Over 2.5
225
Burnley & Under 2.5
187
Derby & Over 2.5
1400
Derby & Under 2.5
750
Draw & Over 2.5
2200
Draw & Under 2.5
275
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
375
0-0
550
0-1
900
2-0
375
1-1
600
0-2
2500
2-1
850
2-2
2500
1-2
1800
3-0
1100
3-3
10000
0-3
6600
3-1
1600
1-3
5000
BURNLEY
DERBY
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
W
W
D
LAST 5
D
D
L
L
L
BURNLEY
HMiddlesbrough1-1
AStoke0-2
HCoventry2-0
ABristol City0-1
HSwansea1-0
All ResultsHome Results
DERBY
ALeeds2-0
HSheffield Wednesday1-2
HSwansea1-2
APreston1-1
HPlymouth1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
BURNLEY
DERBY
POSITION
3rd
POS
16th
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
WON
53%
10
WON
5
26%
Derby are 5 games since a win
DRAWN
37%
7
DRAWN
5
26%
Derby are 3 games since a draw
LOST
11%
2
LOST
9
47%
Burnley have lost the fewest games in the Championship
Burnley are 6 games since a loss
Derby have lost 3 games in a row
SCORED
24
SCORED
22
Burnley have scored in their last 5 games
Derby have not scored 2 or more in their last 5 games
CONCEDED
7
CONCEDED
26
Burnley have conceded the fewest goals in the Championship
Derby have conceded in their last 10 games
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in a game this season
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
BURNLEY
DERBY
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
10
WON
56%
5
WON
1
10%
DRAWN
44%
4
DRAWN
3
30%
LOST
0%
0
LOST
6
60%
Burnley have lost the fewest home games in the Championship
SCORED
13
SCORED
9
Burnley have scored in their last 3 home games
CONCEDED
3
CONCEDED
17
Derby have conceded in all away games this season
Burnley have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
KEY STATS
BURNLEY
DERBY
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
BTTS
26%
5
BTTS
12
63%
Burnley are best in the Championship for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
16%
3
OVER 2.5
8
42%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
47%
9
OVER 1.5
16
84%
Burnley are best in the Championship for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.4
CORNERS
10.7
Burnley are best in the Championship for low corners games
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