Copa Libertadores, played Wednesday, June 28th, 2023
Here is our Internacional v Medellin tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Internacional home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
Meanwhile in the other match being played in Group B, second-placed Brazilian hosts, Internacional, will take on the group leaders, Independiente Medellin, in a straight shoot-out for one of the top two places in the group which would seal a place in the knockout round of the competition.
Internacional remain the only side in this four-team group yet to taste defeat as the Brazilian hosts have won two and drawn three of their five games so far in this Copa Libertadores campaign, in the form of victories over Metropolitanos both home and away, while also picking up points in draws with Independiente and home and away stalemates with Club Nacional.
The hosts have also suffered just one defeat in their last nine matches at this level but Internacional have picked up just three wins during this period and have been involved in no fewer than five draws as well.
Goals could be in short supply too as seven of Internacional's last nine games in the Copa Libertadores have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Independiente Medellin sit top of Group B where they hold a slender one-point cushion over their hosts prior to this crucial final game in the group stage with the visitors also looking to book their place in the knockout round of this competition, but this may be easier said than done as the Colombian outfit have managed to register just one win from their previous six matches in all competitions.
Independiente's one highlight during this recent period came in the form of a 1-0 win away at bottom placed club, Metropolitanos, but four defeats in these recent weeks suggest this upcoming trip to face Internacional looks fraught with danger.
Three of these four losses have also been incurred on their travels as Independiente have slipped to defeats at America da Cali, Boyaco Chico and Millonarios in the Colombian top flight, while five of Independiente's last six matches have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored.
Results away from home in the Copa Libertadores have been more encouraging though for the visitors as they have lost just one of their last six outings on the road, so they stand a decent chance of gaining a positive result here.
Internacional v Independiente Medellin Verdict
Internacional have kept five clean sheets in their last nine Copa Libertadores ties and the hosts know that if they can prevent Independiente from scoring in this upcoming clash at the Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, then they stand a good chance of progressing through to the next phase of the competition.
Meanwhile, Independiente Medellin have failed to score in four of their last six games overall and their lack of firepower up front may well contribute to a low-scoring affair here on Wednesday night.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.86
Other side bets worth considering:
Internacional win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.50
Correct score: Internacional 1-0 @ 6.50
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| A | America Mineiro | 1-2 |
| A | Coritiba | 0-1 |
| H | Vasco da Gama | 2-1 |
| A | Club Nacional | 1-1 |
| A | Santos | 1-1 |
| A | Millonarios | 2-1 |
| H | America | 0-1 |
| A | Metropolitanos | 0-1 |
| H | Chico FC | 0-0 |
| A | Chico FC | 1-0 |