Copa Libertadores, played Friday, June 9th, 2023
Here is our Olimpia v Atletico Nacional tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a draw. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
There's another top of the table clash in Group H when second placed Paraguayan outfit Olimpia take on the Group H leaders, Colombian visitors Atletico Nacional at the Estadio Manuel Ferreira with both sides keen to further cement their places in the top two positions of this group.
Just two points separate these top two teams in the group and although the hosts have managed to register just two wins out of their last nine matches overall in all competitions, they nevertheless include a valuable 2-0 win away at Patronato which followed an earlier 1-0 home win over the same opponents on Matchday 2.
Points picked up in draws with Melgar and Atletico Nacional have maintained Olimpia's hopes of achieving a possible top two finish in Group H but perhaps we shouldn't hold out too much hope of a goal-fest here as nine of Olimpia's last 13 games at this level have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Atletico Nacional know they are virtually guaranteed a place in the last 16 of this season's Copa Libertadores as the visitors hold a six-point buffer over third-placed Melgar with just two group games remaining of this first phase and having won three of their four games so far, the visitors look in good shape to finish the job either on Thursday or on the final matchday.
Victories over Patronato and home and away wins against Melgar have thrust Atletico Nacional into top spot in Group H so the hosts will be in confident mood but results away from home suggest the visitors may not get things all their own way here.
Atletico Nacional have won just two of their last seven outings on the road in the Copa Libertadores while four of Atletico Nacional's last seven away games at this level have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals as well.
Having managed to pick up just five away wins out of their last 18 matches on their travels in this competition, the goals market (or lack of) look an appealing option for this upcoming tussle at the Estadio Manuel Ferreira as 14 of these last 18 away games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Olimpia v Atletico Nacional Verdict
Both Olimpia and Atletico Nacional have been involved in low-scoring games of late and with both teams sitting in the top two positions of Group H already, there appears to be little need to take unnecessary risks in this fixture.
Three of the previous five meetings between Olimpia and Atletico Nacional have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals so we could see both teams playing out a low-scoring affair on Thursday night.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.76
Other side bets worth considering:
Draw @ 3.25
Correct score: 1-1 @ 6.00
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| A | Club Guarani | 1-2 |
| H | Sportivo Ameliano | 1-3 |
| A | Patronato Parana | 0-2 |
| A | Libertad | 1-0 |
| H | General Caballero JLM | 1-1 |
| A | Aguilas Doradas | 0-1 |
| H | Aguilas Doradas | 1-0 |
| H | Alianza Petrolera | 1-1 |
| A | Melgar | 0-1 |
| A | Pasto | 1-1 |