Copa Libertadores, played Tuesday, June 27th, 2023
Here is our Libertad v Atletico Mineiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a draw. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
The other match being played in Group G early Tuesday night is this upcoming fixture between third-placed Libertad and their second-placed visitors, Atletico Mineiro, when the two teams clash in a ‘winner takes all' encounter at the Estadio Tigo La Huerta with the hosts needing all three points and a win by a healthy margin as well if they're to grab the other knockout round spot.
Paraguayan hosts, Libertad, trail their visitors by three points and possess a goal difference of -1 heading into this final group game and although the hosts are still mathematically in with a chance of securing the runners-up spot, Libertad are without a win in their last three matches in all competitions.
Back-to-back defeats away from home at Cerro Porteno in the Paraguayan top flight and a loss at Athletico PR in the previous group game in the Copa Libertadores suggest this upcoming home game against Atletico Mineiro may be a bridge too far for the hosts.
However, the goals market appeals here as eight of Libertad's last 10 home games in the Copa Libertadores have resulted in both teams scoring (80%).
Onto Atletico Mineiro and the Brazilian visitors know they just need to avoid defeat in order to book their place in the next phase of the competition but they too have stumbled for form in recent weeks as the visitors have managed to win just twice in their previous seven matches in all competitions.
Both of these wins were achieved on the road with victories claimed at Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Serie A along with a win at Alianza Lima in their previous group match in the Copa Libertadores but three draws and two defeats suggest that the visitors may just be happy to settle for a point here which would secure them a place in the knockout round anyway.
Draws with Palmeiras, Bragantino and Fluminense in the Brazilian top flight along with losses incurred against Corinthians and Fortaleza underline the difficulties that Atletico Mineiro have faced in recent times, along with winning just once in their last six away trips as well.
Libertad v Atletico Mineiro Verdict
Libertad have lost their last two home games on the trot in the Copa Libertadores, losing to Alianza Lima and Athletico PR respectively but the hosts look in good shape to at least score in this upcoming fixture as Libertad have scored at least once in each of their last 11 home games in this competition.
Atletico Mineiro have lost just two of their last 16 outings on the road in this competition but they have also been involved in a number of draws but having scored in seven of their last 10 away games in the Copa Libertadores (70%), goals for both sides looks likely here on Tuesday night.
Therefore, our main bet will be Both Teams To Score Yes @ 1.95
Other side bets worth considering:
Draw @ 3.30
Correct score: 1-1 @ 6.50
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| A | Atletico Paranaense | 1-0 |
| A | Alianza Lima | 1-2 |
| H | Atletico Paranaense | 1-2 |
| H | Alianza Lima | 1-2 |
| A | Atletico Mineiro | 0-1 |
| A | Fortaleza CE | 2-1 |
| A | Fluminense | 1-1 |
| H | Bragantino | 1-1 |
| A | Alianza Lima | 0-1 |
| A | Cruzeiro | 0-1 |