Copa Libertadores, played Thursday, June 8th, 2023
Here is our Aucas v Nublense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Aucas home win. Our confidence in this tip was low relative to other tips.
In South America, the Copa Libertadores competition is in full swing with the group stage well underway and beginning to take shape in terms of possible qualifiers for the knockout rounds along with which teams are likely to drop down into the Copa Sudamericana; Wednesday night features this upcoming clash between Ecuadorian hosts, Aucas and Chilean visitors, Nublense.
It looks like being a ‘winner takes all' scenario when Aucas play host to Nublense on Wednesday night as just one point separates the two teams ahead of this vital Matchday 5 clash at the Estadio Cooprogreso Gonzalo Pozo Ripalda, for a place in the Copa Sudamericana although a win for Nublense could see them in contention for a possible top two finish in Group A.
Aucas produced a winning start to their first ever Copa Libertadores campaign when they recorded an impressive 2-1 home win against Flamengo but the Ecuadorian hosts have since slumped to three defeats on the trot, leaving them bottom of the group table.
Home and away losses to Argentinian outfit, Racing Club, along with a 2-1 defeat away from home at Wednesday night's opponents, Nublense, means that Aucas must take all three points in this upcoming tussle on home soil if they're to remain in the hunt for extended action in one of the two South American competitions.
Nublense sit just one position and one point above their hosts prior to Matchday 5 so the visitors will be looking to at least avoid defeat in this clash against Aucas, while an even bigger prize may be on offer for Nublense if they're willing to take risks and win this encounter.
The Chilean visitors are just a point behind second-placed Flamengo so they still stand a chance of achieving a possible top two finish in the group but having managed to pick up just three wins from their last 11 matches in all competitions, this upcoming trip to Ecuador nevertheless looks like being a tricky assignment for Nublense.
Nublense have also managed to win just one of their opening four games in the group stage and they too are making their debut in this prestigious South American club competition, so this will be no easy task on Wednesday night.
Aucas v Nublense Verdict
Home advantage played a part in the previous meeting between these two sides as Nublense ran out 2-1 winners against Aucas at their Estadio Municipal Alcaldesa Ester Roa Rebolledo, but Aucas will be hoping they can repay the favour on home soil on Wednesday night, and having won six of their last eight home games in all competitions, Aucas stand a decent chance of doing just that.
Therefore, our main bet will be Aucas win @ 1.65
Other side bets worth considering:
Over 2.5 goals @ 1.97
Correct score: Aucas 2-1 @ 8.50
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| A | Independiente del Valle | 2-0 |
| H | Deportivo Cuenca | 0-2 |
| H | Racing Club | 1-2 |
| A | Mushuc Runa | 0-0 |
| H | Gualaceo | 1-0 |
| H | Flamengo | 1-1 |
| H | Universidad de Chile | 1-1 |
| A | Huachipato | 2-0 |
| H | Deportes Copiapo | 1-0 |
| H | Aucas | 2-1 |