Copa Libertadores, played Tuesday, June 6th, 2023
Here is our Atletico Paranaense v Libertad tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Atletico Paranaense home win. Our confidence in this tip was low relative to other tips.
In South America, the Copa Libertadores competition is in full swing with the group stage well underway and beginning to take shape in terms of possible qualifiers for the knockout rounds along with which teams are likely to drop down into the Copa Sudamericana; Tuesday night features this upcoming clash between Brazilian hosts, Atletico PR and Paraguayan visitors, Libertad.
Atletico PR hold a slender one-point margin at the top of Group G over second-placed Brazilian rivals, Atletico Mineiro, but the hosts will hold home advantage at their Arena da Baixada where they'll entertain Libertad with a valuable three points at stake.
Of the four games that they've played so far in these group stages, Atletico PR have played three away games which have resulted in a 0-0 draw at Alianza Lima, 2-1 win at Libertad and then a 2-1 loss at Atletico Mineiro.
The hosts have played just one game on home soil so far during this Copa Libertadores campaign but they grabbed all three points with a 2-1 home win over Atletico Mineiro and they'll be looking for more of the same when they entertain Libertad on Tuesday night.
Libertad's previously impressive five-match winning streak was brought to a sudden halt over the weekend when they were handed a 2-0 defeat away from home at Cerro Porteno but the visitors will be hoping they can produce the sort of form which brought them four domestic wins in the Paraguayan Division Profesional as well as the 2-1 win away at Alianza Lima in their last group match in the Copa Libertadores.
It's been a mixed Copa Libertadores campaign though so far for Libertad who have picked up two wins but have also slipped to two defeats as well, and interestingly, the visitors have actually performed better on the road than at home as they've picked up away wins at Atletico Mineiro and Alianza Lima.
In a tight group with just one point separating the top three teams in Group G, Libertad may be happy to settle for a point here and take their chances at home in the final game of the group stage against Atletico Mineiro, especially as Libertad have managed to win just two of their last seven outings on the road, including four defeats.
Atletico PR v Libertad Verdict
Atletico PR have held the upper hand over Libertad in previous exchanges as the hosts are unbeaten in their last four meetings, winning three of these encounters, so Atletico PR look well placed to grab all three points here and confirm their place in the knockout rounds of this competition.
Therefore, our main bet will be Atletico PR win @ 1.75
Other side bets worth considering:
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.66
Correct score: Atletico PR 1-0 @ 6.00
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| H | Botafogo | 1-0 |
| H | Gremio | 1-2 |
| A | Atletico Mineiro | 2-1 |
| A | Bragantino | 2-0 |
| H | Coritiba | 3-2 |
| A | Cerro Porteno | 2-0 |
| A | General Caballero JLM | 0-2 |
| A | Alianza Lima | 1-2 |
| H | Olimpia | 1-0 |
| A | Guairena | 0-2 |