Copa do Brasil, played Thursday, July 6th, 2023
Here is our Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Flamengo home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
We have reached the quarter-final stage of the Brazilian domestic cup competition (Copa do Brasil) and the 1st leg fixtures features this upcoming clash between Flamengo and Athletico PR when the two sides meet at the MaracanĂ£, with the hosts looking to pick up a fourth consecutive win in all competitions.
Flamengo have enjoyed a successful start to this new Brazilian season as the hosts occupy third place in the Serie A standings and will head into this 1st leg tie with Athletico PR on the back of a three-match winning streak which consists of league wins against Santos 3-2 away from home and a 2-0 home win against Fortaleza, along with a comprehensive 4-0 rout of Aucas in the Copa Libertadores in between.
Indeed, Flamengo have suffered just the one defeat out of their last 14 matches in all competitions and having captured 10 wins in the process, Flamengo will be in confident mood as they prepare to carve out a 1st leg lead at home against Athletico PR on Wednesday night.
Flamengo have won seven of their last eight home games and the hosts have also kept six clean sheets during this period as well.
Athletico PR will also have cause for optimism ahead of this 1st leg tie in the quarter-finals of the Copa do Brasil against Flamengo as the visitors have lost just once in their previous eight matches overall in all competitions, whilst picking up five wins in the process.
Serie A wins against Botafogo and Corinthians along with Copa Libertadores victories gained over the likes of Libertad and Alianza Lima should give Athletico PR a welcome boost ahead of this upcoming trip to the Maracana on Wednesday night.
However, it's worth noting that four of Athletico PR's recent five wins were achieved on home soil at their Ligga Arena but results away from home have been far less convincing and indeed have yielded just three wins out of their last 11 outings on their travels.
This rather ordinary sequence of results away from home also include six defeats while managing to keep just two clean sheets and failing to score themselves in no fewer than five of these 11 away games too.
Flamengo v Athletico PR Verdict
Flamengo have reached the quarter-final stage of this season's cup competition courtesy of a 8-4 win on aggregate against Maringa followed by a 2-0 win on aggregate against Serie A bitter rivals, Fluminense, in the previous round.
Athletico PR by contrast have had to endure not one but two penalty shoot-outs in order to reach the final eight of this season's Copa do Brasil as they saw off Serie B outfit, CRB, and then overcame Botafogo on penalties in the previous round.
Flamengo have won the last two meetings at home against Athletico PR.
Therefore, our main bet will be Flamengo win @ 1.60
Other side bets worth considering:
Flamengo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.50
Correct score: Flamengo 2-0 @ 7.00
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| H | Fortaleza CE | 2-0 |
| H | Aucas | 4-0 |
| A | Santos | 2-3 |
| A | Bragantino | 4-0 |
| H | Gremio | 3-0 |
| H | Palmeiras | 2-2 |
| H | Alianza Lima | 3-0 |
| H | Corinthians | 1-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| A | America Mineiro | 2-2 |