Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid

Champions League, played Wednesday, March 12th, 2025

Here is our Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a draw. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid Preview

Having lost both of their last two games on the trot in all competitions and both being away from home, Atletico Madrid will be eager to return to the home surroundings of their Riyadh Air Metropolitano for this 2nd leg of their Champions League round of last 16 encounter, especially as Diego Simeone's side trail their loc al rivals by a 2-1 margin ahead of Wednesday night's tussle.

Real Madrid by contrast have won both of their last two games, both of which were gained on home soil at their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu with victories gained over their upcoming hosts in last week's 1st leg tie along with a 2-1 home win against Rayo Vallecano in La Liga.

Atletico Madrid will now be looking to turn the tables on their city rivals on Wednesday night and manager Diego Simeone will be hoping his team can rekindle the sort of form which saw Atletico put together a solid looking 10-match unbeaten sequence in all competitions beforehand.

Within these previous 10 games, Atletico Madrid had picked up six wins in the process along with being involved in four stalemates, and four of these six wins were also recorded on home soil as well.

The goals market also looks promising as eight out of Atletico Madrid's last 12 matches overall have resulted in both teams scoring.

Real Madrid will be looking to make it three wins on the trot on Wednesday night when Carlo Ancelotti's side not only seek to protect their 2-1 lead from last week's 1st leg but to also progress through to the last eight teams of this season's Champions League competition.

The bigger picture shows Real Madrid have slipped to just two defeats in their last 16 matches across all competitions which came in the shape of losses incurred against Espanyol and real Betis, both being in La Liga.

Nevertheless, Real Madrid have managed to collect no fewer than 12 victories within this 16-game sequence, five of which were achieved on their travels, so the visitors may well fancy their chances of producing another narrow victory here at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Wednesday night.

Wins on the road at Real Valladolid, Brest, Leganes, Manchester City and Real Sociedad respectively will no doubt give the visitors a timely confidence boost ahead of this return leg, while the prospect of goals for both sides also looks promising as well.

Indeed, eight out of Real Madrid's last 10 matches overall across all competitions have also resulted in both teams hitting the back of the net.

Atletico Madrid v Real Madrid Verdict

Remarkably, each of the last 10 meetings between Atletico Madrid and Real Madrid have seen both teams score and this trend looks set to continue at the Riyadh Air Metropolitano on Wednesday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS Yes @ 1.53

Other side bets worth considering:

Draw @ 3.50

Correct Score: 1-1 @ 7.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Draw
1-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
22%
Draw
32%
Away
46%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATLETICO MADRID V REAL MADRID HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
160
250
160
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-175
125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-138
110
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-450
333
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-120
-120
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Atletico Madrid & BTTS Yes
350
Atletico Madrid & BTTS No
400
Real Madrid & BTTS Yes
350
Real Madrid & BTTS No
400
Draw & BTTS Yes
333
Draw & BTTS No
1200
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Atletico Madrid & Over 2.5
275
Atletico Madrid & Under 2.5
550
Real Madrid & Over 2.5
275
Real Madrid & Under 2.5
550
Draw & Over 2.5
850
Draw & Under 2.5
375
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
900
0-0
1200
0-1
1000
2-0
900
1-1
600
0-2
1400
2-1
850
2-2
1100
1-2
900
3-0
2500
3-3
4000
0-3
2500
3-1
2000
1-3
1800
For cup games the statistics below represent the leagues that each team plays in. Statistics are for league games only (last 5 games is all games).
ATLETICO MADRID
REAL MADRID
RECENT FORM
LAST 5
W
D
W
L
L
LAST 5
W
W
L
W
W
ATLETICO MADRID
AGetafe2-1
AReal Madrid2-1
HAthletic Bilbao1-0
ABarcelona4-4
AValencia0-3
REAL MADRID
HRayo Vallecano2-1
HAtletico Madrid2-1
AReal Betis2-1
AReal Sociedad0-1
HGirona2-0
FORM
FORM
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