Serie A, played Sunday, July 2nd, 2023
Here is our Atletico Paranaense v Palmeiras tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Palmeiras away win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
The final round of group matches of the Copa Libertadores will be played this week as we enter the ‘pointy end' of the group stage of this South American elite club competition and features this upcoming clash in Group G between Brazilian hosts, Athletico PR, and their Peruvian visitors, Alianza Lima, at the Arena da Baixada.
Athletico PR sit top of the group with 10 points and a point ahead of second-placed Atletico Mineiro and with a four-point buffer over third-placed Liberta, Tuesday night's hosts are already guaranteed a place in the knockout rounds.
Athletico PR will be keen to finish off the group stage with a win though as they look forward to the next stage of the competition and having registered a 1-0 home win over Corinthians in the Brazilian domestic top flight on the weekend, the hosts will be eager to finish the job on home soil on Tuesday night.
The hosts have recorded home and away wins against Libertad along with a 2-1 home win against compatriots, Atletico Mineiro, as well.
Alianza Lima currently occupy the bottom place in Group G but that's not to say that they are out of the running for a possible Copa Sudamericana spot as the visitors trail third-placed Libertad by just two points heading into this final matchday in the group stage.
However, Alianza Lima do need Atletico Mineiro to do them a favour by beating Libertad while Lima themselves must take all three points away from home at Athletico PR to achieve a third place finish in this group, something that looks fairly unlikely especially as the visitors have lost four of their last seven matches overall.
Despite picking up wins in the Peru Primera Division against Deportivo Binacional, Deportivo Garcilaso and Atletico Grau, each of which were on home soil, Alianza Lima have also slipped to four defeats within this seven-game period, two of which were away from home.
Alianza Lima's record on the road at Copa Libertadores level is even worse as the Peruvian visitors have managed to claim just one win out of their last 22 Copa ties on their travels, suffering no fewer than 19 defeats in the process.
Athletico PR v Alianza Lima Verdict
Athletico PR possess an impressive record on home soil in the Copa Libertadores as the hosts are unbeaten in their last 12 matches, picking up nine wins along the way and they look to be too strong for visitors, Alianza Lima, in this final group game on Tuesday night.
Alianza Lima by contrast possess a wretched away record in this competition which has been impacted by failing to score in 13 of their last 22 away games at this level (59.1%).
Therefore, our main bet will be Athletico PR win & Both Teams To Score No @ 1.90
Other side bets worth considering:
Under 2.5 goals @ 1.92
Correct score: Athletico PR 2-0 @ 6.00
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| H | Corinthians | 1-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| A | America Mineiro | 2-2 |
| H | Botafogo | 1-0 |
| H | Gremio | 1-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Botafogo | 0-1 |
| A | Bahia | 1-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 0-2 |
| H | Coritiba | 3-1 |
| A | Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||