Sao Paulo v Fluminense

Serie A, played Saturday, July 1st, 2023

Here is our Sao Paulo v Fluminense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Fluminense Preview

The Brazilian top flight action continues this weekend and Saturday afternoon features this upcoming clash between 11th placed Sao Paulo and their fifth-placed visitors, Fluminense, when the two teams face off at Morumbi with Sao Paulo looking to return to winning ways after stumbling to a few recent defeats.

Losses to Gremio, Palmeiras and Cruzeiro have resulted in Sao Paulo dropping down to a mid-table position in the Serie A table but two of these losses were incurred on their travels, while results at home so far this season will give Sao Paulo reason to be upbeat about their chances on Saturday afternoon.

Sao Paulo have won five of their opening six games on home soil and although they were handed a 2-0 loss by Palmeiras, the hosts have recorded notable wins against sixth-placed Internacional and Athletico PR amongst others.

The bigger picture shows Sao Paulo have suffered just two defeats out of their last 10 home games whilst collecting a total of seven wins in the process, so the hosts still look in good shape ahead of this encounter.

Fluminense moved up into fifth place in the Serie A standings following a 2-1 home win against 14th placed Bahia last weekend which became part of a four-match unbeaten run in the Brazilian top flight.

An earlier win against Bragantino (also at home) along with points picked up in draws with Goias and Atletico Mineiro have helped lift the visitors within a point of the top four clubs and a possible spot in next season's Copa Libertadores, assuming Fluminense can continue this recent encouraging run of results.

Fluminense have registered six wins to date in this season's campaign but it's worth noting that four of these wins were achieved on home turf at their Maracana Stadium, but results away from home have been far more modest.

Following an impressive five-match winning streak on their travels overall, Fluminense have since slumped to picking up just one win out of their last five outings on the road, a poor run of results that include three defeats away from home in the shape of losses at Fortaleza, Botafogo and Corinthians, so the visitors may struggle at Sao Paulo.

Sao Paulo v Fluminense Verdict

Sao Paulo have produced some impressive results at their Morumbi Stadium so far this season and with home advantage behind them again on Saturday afternoon along with being unbeaten in their last three meetings at home against Fluminense, the hosts might just get over the line by a possible 2-0 margin.

Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 2.20

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.75

Correct score: Sao Paulo 2-0 @ 11.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
46%
Draw
37%
Away
17%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V FLUMINENSE HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
110
240
250
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-105
-118
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-333
240
DRAW NO BET
1
2
-188
137
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
350
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
275
Fluminense & BTTS Yes
550
Fluminense & BTTS No
500
Draw & BTTS Yes
350
Draw & BTTS No
900
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
250
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
375
Fluminense & Over 2.5
450
Fluminense & Under 2.5
600
Draw & Over 2.5
1100
Draw & Under 2.5
333
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
700
0-0
1000
0-1
1000
2-0
700
1-1
550
0-2
1800
2-1
800
2-2
1200
1-2
1100
3-0
1800
3-3
4000
0-3
4000
3-1
1600
1-3
2800
SAO PAULO
FLUMINENSE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
L
L
W
L
LAST 5
L
W
D
D
W
SAO PAULO
ACruzeiro1-0
HAtletico Paranaense2-1
HPalmeiras0-2
AGremio2-1
HGoias2-1
All ResultsHome Results
FLUMINENSE
HBahia2-1
HAtletico Mineiro1-1
AGoias2-2
HBragantino2-1
ACorinthians2-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
FLUMINENSE
POSITION
11th
POS
5th
PLAYED
12
PLAYED
12
WON
42%
5
WON
6
50%
DRAWN
25%
3
DRAWN
3
25%
Sao Paulo are 6 games since a draw
LOST
33%
4
LOST
3
25%
Fluminense are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
17
SCORED
19
Fluminense have scored in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
13
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 7 games
Fluminense have conceded in their last 6 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
FLUMINENSE
PLAYED
6
PLAYED
6
WON
83%
5
WON
2
33%
Fluminense are 3 games since an away win
DRAWN
0%
0
DRAWN
1
17%
Sao Paulo have drawn the fewest home games in Serie A
Sao Paulo have not drawn a home game this season
LOST
17%
1
LOST
3
50%
SCORED
13
SCORED
9
CONCEDED
6
CONCEDED
9
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 4 home games
Fluminense have conceded in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
FLUMINENSE
PLAYED
12
PLAYED
12
BTTS
58%
7
BTTS
6
50%
OVER 2.5
50%
6
OVER 2.5
5
42%
Sao Paulo are best in Serie A for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
83%
10
OVER 1.5
11
92%
CORNERS
11
CORNERS
12.1
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