Serie A, played Thursday, November 2nd, 2023
Here is our Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this tip was low relative to other tips.
The Brazilian top flight action continues on Thursday night when Sao Paulo play host to Cruzeiro at Morumbi with the hosts looking to hold onto their place in the top 12 of the Serie A table with a positive result here, while Cruzeiro are sitting on the fringes of the top 12 pack and will be keen to break through with all three points.
This season's Serie A campaign has been a tale of two halves for Thursday's hosts, Sao Paulo, as the home side have produced an impressive record of results on home soil but results away from home have been dire, as Sao Paulo have failed to win any of their 15 away games so far this term.
However, it's their form at home which concerns us for this upcoming clash with Cruzeiro and having won 10 of their 15 games to date at Morumbi along with being dealt just three defeats in the process, Sao Paulo look to be well placed to grab all three points here in this upcoming encounter.
Although the bigger picture shows Sao Paulo have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 15 games overall in the Brazilian top flight, the hosts have shown they are more than capable of picking up wins at home and they bring a three-match winning streak into Thursday's fixture.
Cruzeiro sit in 13th place and just a point outside of the top 12 places in the Serie A table and the visitors will also be in confident mood as they have collected back-to-back wins against Atletico Mineiro and Bahia in recent games and they'll be seeking a third league win on the trot at Morumbi as a result.
However, the bigger picture shows Cruzeiro have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 15 matches overall in the domestic top flight which includes wins on the road at Santos and Atletico Mineiro but they've also been handed five defeats on their travels within this period as well.
Interestingly, Cruzeiro have also failed to score in nine of these previous 15 league matches and their shyness in front of goal may contribute to their downfall in Thursday's clash at Morumbi.
Results away from home though have been pretty steady for Ze Ricardo's side as they have been dealt just three losses in their last 13 outings on their travels which gives the visitors a fighting chance of securing a result of some sort here.
Sao Paulo v Cruzeiro Verdict
This upcoming fixture looks a tight one to call but Sao Paulo are unbeaten in their last three meetings at home against Cruzeiro, picking up two wins, so the hosts might just edge the points here in perhaps a narrow 1-0 victory.
Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.80
Other side bets worth considering:
Sao Paulo win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.60
Correct score: Sao Paulo 1-0 @ 6.00
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