Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense

Serie A, played Wednesday, June 21st, 2023

Here is our Sao Paulo v Atletico Paranaense tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Sao Paulo home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sao Paulo vs Athletico PR Preview

Sao Paulo will be eager to stem the recent losses in the Brazilian top flight on Wednesday evening when they play host to Athletico PR at their Morumbi stadium following recent defeats to Gremio and Palmeiras, while Athletico PR have collected just one win in their last four matches overall.

These two recent losses have resulted in Sao Paulo dropping down the Serie A table to eighth place in the standings but the hosts remain only one point behind their upcoming opponents, Athletico PR, and with home advantage on Wednesday night, Sao Paulo will still feel upbeat about their chances ahead of this encounter.

Sao Paulo have lost just once in their opening five games on home soil which came in the shape of a 2-0 loss to Palmeiras last time out but Dorival Junior's side had previously recorded four wins on the trot with victories over America Mineiro, Internacional, Vasco da Gama and Goias, which also saw Sao Paulo score 11 goals in the process!

Athletic PR will make their way to the Morumbi stadium having registered just one win in their last four games which was a 1-0 home win over Botafogo but the visitors have also slipped to recent defeats against Bragantino and Gremio as well, so they too will be keen to return to winning ways on Wednesday night.

The visitors had previously collected three wins on the trot in Serie A with wins against Flamengo, Internacional and Coritiba respectively, but picking up positive results away from home continues to be a source of major concern for manager, Paulo Turra.

Athletico PR have managed to capture just one away win to date in this new Serie A campaign while the bigger picture shows the visitors have collected just this one victory out of their previous 13 outings on their travels, a poor sequence of results that include eight defeats as well.

In addition, nine of Athletico PR's last 13 away games have also seen the visitors concede 2 goals or more and this does not appear to bode well for this upcoming clash against a free-scoring Sao Paulo outfit.

Sao Paulo v Athletico PR Verdict

Sao Paulo have won six of their last nine home games in Serie A (66.6%) with six of these games also resulting in Over 2.5 goals, so the prospects of a home win and three goals or more scored look favourable on Wednesday night.

Athletico PR have managed to keep just two clean sheets in their last 13 outings on the road and the visitors have lost two of their last three visits to Sao Paulo as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Sao Paulo win @ 1.83

Other side bets worth considering:

Sao Paulo win & Over 2.5 goals @ 3.10

Correct score: Sao Paulo 3-0 @ 15.00

TIP
Medium Stake on
Home Win
3-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
58%
Draw
27%
Away
15%
Voting Is Now Closed
SAO PAULO V ATLETICO PARANAENSE HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
-125
250
375
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-133
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
115
-150
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-275
200
DRAW NO BET
1
2
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sao Paulo & BTTS Yes
333
Sao Paulo & BTTS No
175
Atletico Paranaense & BTTS Yes
900
Atletico Paranaense & BTTS No
600
Draw & BTTS Yes
400
Draw & BTTS No
750
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sao Paulo & Over 2.5
210
Sao Paulo & Under 2.5
275
Atletico Paranaense & Over 2.5
750
Atletico Paranaense & Under 2.5
700
Draw & Over 2.5
1400
Draw & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
500
0-0
700
0-1
1000
2-0
500
1-1
550
0-2
2200
2-1
750
2-2
1800
1-2
1600
3-0
1200
3-3
6600
0-3
5000
3-1
1400
1-3
4000
SAO PAULO
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
D
W
W
L
L
LAST 5
W
L
L
W
D
SAO PAULO
HPalmeiras0-2
AGremio2-1
HGoias2-1
HVasco da Gama4-2
ACorinthians1-1
All ResultsHome Results
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
AAmerica Mineiro2-2
HBotafogo1-0
HGremio1-2
ABragantino2-0
HCoritiba3-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SAO PAULO
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
POSITION
8th
POS
7th
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
10
WON
40%
4
WON
5
50%
DRAWN
30%
3
DRAWN
1
10%
Sao Paulo are 4 games since a draw
LOST
30%
3
LOST
4
40%
SCORED
15
SCORED
14
Atletico Paranaense have scored in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
11
CONCEDED
13
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 5 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SAO PAULO
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
PLAYED
5
PLAYED
5
WON
80%
4
WON
1
20%
DRAWN
0%
0
DRAWN
1
20%
Sao Paulo have drawn the fewest home games in Serie A
Sao Paulo have not drawn a home game this season
LOST
20%
1
LOST
3
60%
SCORED
11
SCORED
5
CONCEDED
5
CONCEDED
8
Sao Paulo have conceded in their last 3 home games
KEY STATS
SAO PAULO
ATLETICO PARANAENSE
PLAYED
10
PLAYED
10
BTTS
60%
6
BTTS
5
50%
OVER 2.5
50%
5
OVER 2.5
5
50%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
90%
9
OVER 1.5
9
90%
CORNERS
11.7
CORNERS
9.7
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