Serie A, played Thursday, June 22nd, 2023
Here is our Gremio v America Mineiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Gremio home win. Our confidence in this tip was high relative to other tips.
Gremio's previously impressive and encouraging three-match winning streak in the Brazilian Serie A was brought to a sudden halt last time out when they were handed a heavy 3-0 loss away from home at Flamengo, but Gremio return to their home surroundings for this upcoming clash with lowly America Mineiro, where the hosts will be eager to return to winning ways.
Recent wins against Internacional, Athletico PR and Sao Paulo had helped Gremio up into the top six of the Serie A standings but although they were dealt a defeat last time out, which became only a third loss this season, Gremio have been solid on home turf this term.
It's worth noting that each of Gremio's three defeats to date in this season's campaign were all inflicted upon Renato Gaucho's side on the road, while results at home have been pretty reliable for the hosts as they still remain unbeaten at their Arena do Grêmio.
America Mineiro currently sit third from bottom in the Brazilian top flight table and therefore find themselves in the early relegation zone prior to this tough looking trip to face an in-form Gremio outfit at their Arena do Grêmio on Wednesday night.
The visitors' predicament has not been helped by the fact that America Mineiro have managed to capture just two wins to date all season, both of which were actually achieved on home soil at their Estádio Raimundo Sampaio with wins against Fortaleza and Corinthians.
However, these two wins have been America Mineiro's only highlights in their previous 12 matches overall in Serie A, while also being handed no fewer than seven defeats in the process, so the visitors look to be up against it on Wednesday.
America Mineiro have made a poor start to this season's campaign on the road as well, as the visitors have failed to win any of their opening four games on their travels, losing three of these games while managing to pick up a point in a 2-2 draw at Bragantino.
Losses on the road at Sao Paulo, Santos and Botafogo so far this term suggest this upcoming trip to face Gremio is also likely to end in disappointing fashion as they cannot seem to pick up a win from anywhere, while Gremio will be highly motivated to bounce back with a win here.
Gremio v America Mineiro Verdict
Gremio have been a tough team to beat not only in this season's campaign but towards the end of last season too, as they are now unbeaten in each of their last 10 home games in Serie A and picking up seven wins along the way.
The hosts have also kept five clean sheets and they have scored 2 goals or more on seven occasions within these previous 10 home matches.
Therefore, our main bet will be Gremio win @ 1.61
Other side bets worth considering:
Gremio win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.75
Correct score: Gremio 3-0 @ 13.00
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| A | Flamengo | 3-0 |
| H | Sao Paulo | 2-1 |
| A | Atletico Paranaense | 1-2 |
| H | Internacional | 3-1 |
| H | Fortaleza CE | 0-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Atletico Paranaense | 2-2 |
| H | Corinthians | 2-0 |
| A | Botafogo | 2-0 |
| H | Fortaleza CE | 2-1 |
| H | Cruzeiro | 0-4 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||