Serie A, played Sunday, July 16th, 2023
Here is our Fluminense v Flamengo tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Fluminense home win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.
This weekend also features the upcoming local derby between Fluminense and Flamengo at the Maracanã on Sunday afternoon in what is otherwise known as the Flu-Fla derby with just two points separating fourth-placed Fluminense and their second-placed rivals, Flamengo, in this top four clash in the Brazilian top flight.
Fluminense returned to winning ways last time out with a 2-0 home win against Internacional and overall results in recent weeks have been fairly promising for Fluminense as they have lost just once in their last six matches overall in Serie A.
During this encouraging period of results, Fluminense have collected wins against Bragantino, Bahia and Internacional while three of these six games have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals as well, and results on home soil have been even better for the hosts this season.
Fluminense still remain unbeaten at home in Serie A this term having picked up five wins and two draws to date this term, while the bigger picture shows that Fluminense have been dealt just one defeat in their last 20 home games which gives the hosts a definite chance of recording another three points at their rivals' expense.
It's also a home game for the ‘visitors' Flamengo who are joint-tenants of the Maracanã with their upcoming rivals, Fluminense, and they have also produced a solid sequence of results in the Brazilian top flight having lost just once in their previous 10 games overall which has helped lift Flamengo into second place in the domestic top flight table.
Seven wins within this 10-match period should give Flamengo plenty of reasons to be upbeat about their chances in Sunday's showdown at the Maracanã as well, and with six of these 10 games also producing two goals or more for Flamengo, the prospect of goals for this upcoming local derby look highly promising.
In addition, 11 of Flamengo's previous 16 league matches in Serie A have also produced Over 2.5 goals scored in total, so this upcoming encounter with local rivals, Fluminense, will not only be keenly anticipated by the two sets of fans but also the neutral spectators on Sunday afternoon.
Fluminense v Flamengo Verdict
Recent exchanges have seen Fluminense come out on top as they have registered three wins compared to Flamengo's two, while the two teams also shared the points in the other game in the previous six meetings between these two clubs.
In addition, four out of the last seven meetings between Fluminense and Flamengo have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored in total and further goals look likely this Sunday with so much at stake for both clubs, not least a possible top four finish and the promise of Copa Libertadores football next season. Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.90
Other side bets worth considering:
Fluminense win @ 2.87
Correct score: Fluminense 3-0 @ 29.00
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| H | Internacional | 2-0 |
| A | Sao Paulo | 1-0 |
| H | Bahia | 2-1 |
| H | Atletico Mineiro | 1-1 |
| A | Goias | 2-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| A | Palmeiras | 1-1 |
| H | Fortaleza CE | 2-0 |
| A | Santos | 2-3 |
| A | Bragantino | 4-0 |
| H | Gremio | 3-0 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||