Athletico Paranaense v Cruzeiro

Serie A, played Saturday, July 29th, 2023

Here is our Athletico Paranaense v Cruzeiro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Cruzeiro away win. Our confidence in this tip was moderate relative to other tips.

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Match Preview & Team News

Athletico PR vs Cruzeiro Preview

Recent back-to-back wins in the Brazilian Serie A have helped lift Saturday afternoon's hosts, Athletico PR, up into fifth place in the domestic top flight and the home side will be seeking a third win on the bouncde when they entertain Cruzeiro at their Ligga Arena.

Previous wins against Bahia and Vasco da Gama, in home and away victories respectively and both by 2-0 margins will give Athletico PR confidence ahead of this weekend's action in the Brazilian top flight especially as they now have a possible top four finish in their sights and the accompanying Copa Libertadores spot as well.

However, after making a promising start to this Serie A campaign which yielded four wins from their opening six games of the season by way of victories against Goias, Flamengo, Internacional and Coritiba, Athletico PR have seemingly lost their way a bit in recent weeks.

Just four wins from their last 10 matches suggest a straight win here for the hosts may not be as straightforward as many think, while six of these 10 games also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored so the goals market may be worth a look.

Cruzeiro dropped down to 11th place in the Serie A standings following a disappointing 1-0 defeat at home to Goias last weekend and this defeat ended a previously encouraging four-match unbeaten run in the Brazilian top flight that consisted of two wins and two draws.

Wins against Sao Paulo and Vasco da Gama should still give Cruzeiro belief that they can match their upcoming hosts at the Ligga Arena along with having picked up points in draws with Internacional and Coritiba as well.

In addition, Cruzeiro had also kept clean sheets in each of these preceding four games too, which had contributed to some low-scoring games overall - indeed, nine out of Cruzeiro's last 10 league matches in Serie A have resulted in Under 2.5 goals and another low-scoring encounter may well be on the cards at the Ligga Arena on Saturday afternoon as well.

Cruzeiro bring a solid sequence of results on the road into this clash too, as the visitors are unbeaten in their last six matches on their travels and this sort of form could see the away side keep pace with their high-flying hosts.

Athletico PR v Cruzeiro Verdict Overall results in recent weeks have been a little questionable where Athletico PR have been concerned and whilst Cruzeiro have also produced some inconsistent results as well, form away from home could see Cruzeiro cancel out the hosts' attacking threat.

In addition, each of the last three meetings between Athletico PR and Cruzeiro have also been Under 2.5 goals.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.66

Other side bets worth considering:

Cruzeiro win @ 3.80

Correct score: Cruzeiro 1-0 @ 9.50

TIP
Medium Stake on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
27%
Draw
30%
Away
43%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE V CRUZEIRO HISTORICAL ODDS

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MATCH WINNER
1
X
2
105
225
280
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
100
-133
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
130
-163
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-250
200
DRAW NO BET
1
2
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Athletico Paranaense & BTTS Yes
400
Athletico Paranaense & BTTS No
225
Cruzeiro & BTTS Yes
750
Cruzeiro & BTTS No
500
Draw & BTTS Yes
375
Draw & BTTS No
650
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Athletico Paranaense & Over 2.5
275
Athletico Paranaense & Under 2.5
300
Cruzeiro & Over 2.5
650
Cruzeiro & Under 2.5
550
Draw & Over 2.5
1400
Draw & Under 2.5
275
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Draw
Away
1-0
500
0-0
650
0-1
850
2-0
500
1-1
550
0-2
1800
2-1
800
2-2
1800
1-2
1400
3-0
1600
3-3
6600
0-3
4000
3-1
1800
1-3
4000
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE
CRUZEIRO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
D
L
W
W
LAST 5
W
D
W
D
L
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE
AVasco da Gama0-2
HBahia2-0
AFortaleza CE1-0
HPalmeiras2-2
HCorinthians1-0
All ResultsHome Results
CRUZEIRO
HGoias0-1
HCoritiba0-0
AVasco da Gama0-1
AInternacional0-0
HSao Paulo1-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE
CRUZEIRO
POSITION
5th
POS
11th
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
WON
50%
8
WON
6
38%
DRAWN
12%
2
DRAWN
4
25%
Athletico Paranaense are 3 games since a draw
LOST
38%
6
LOST
6
38%
SCORED
22
SCORED
16
Cruzeiro have not scored in their last 2 games
Cruzeiro have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
CONCEDED
18
CONCEDED
12
Athletico Paranaense have kept clean sheets in their last 2 games
Athletico Paranaense have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
Cruzeiro have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 6 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE
CRUZEIRO
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
7
WON
75%
6
WON
3
43%
DRAWN
12%
1
DRAWN
3
43%
LOST
12%
1
LOST
1
14%
Cruzeiro have lost the fewest away games in Serie A
SCORED
14
SCORED
12
Athletico Paranaense have scored in all home games this season
CONCEDED
7
CONCEDED
5
Cruzeiro have conceded the fewest away goals in Serie A
KEY STATS
ATHLETICO PARANAENSE
CRUZEIRO
PLAYED
16
PLAYED
16
BTTS
44%
7
BTTS
4
25%
Cruzeiro are best in Serie A for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
44%
7
OVER 2.5
5
31%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
81%
13
OVER 1.5
7
44%
Cruzeiro are best in Serie A for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
9.3
CORNERS
10.6
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