UEFA Nations, played Friday, October 11th, 2024
Here is our Turkey v Montenegro tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Turkey home win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.
Turkey sit level with Wales on four points apiece at the top of the Group 4 table in League B thanks to remaining unbeaten after their opening two group matches, while Montenegro sit bottom of the group table with zero points to their name following losses in each of their opening two games.
Turkey gained a point with a 0-0 draw away from home at Wales but then followed that up with a 3-1 home win against Iceland on matchday 2 which the hosts will be hoping can spur them on towards picking up all three points here at the Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu on Friday night.
However, although Turkey have produced a promising start to this Nations League campaign, the bigger picture shows Vincenzo Montella's side have managed to register just four wins in their last 12 internationals along with being handed five defeats in the process.
Interestingly, wins against Georgia, Czech Republic, Austria and Iceland all resulted in Over 2.5 goals while a total of eight of these 12 games also produced three goals or more as well.
Montenegro already find themselves in trouble at the foot of the Group 4 table following early back-to-back defeats against the likes of Iceland and Wales and further trouble could be just around the corner in Turkey on Friday night when they make their way to the Samsun Yeni 19 Mayis Stadyumu for this upcoming matchday 3 encounter.
It's actually four defeats on the trot now for Montenegro who had previously slipped to losses to Belgium and Georgia while the bigger picture also shows the visitors have struggled to produce any sort of consistency in recent times on the international stage.
The visitors have managed to capture just six wins from their last 20 internationals overall while also being handed no fewer than 11 defeats in the process; results away from home have also been disappointing for Robert Prosinecki's side as Montenegro have registered just four wins in their last 17 outings on the road, making them outright underdogs heading into Friday night's clash.
Given Montenegro's poor record away from home in recent internationals, Turkey have been made very low-priced favourites to collect all three points here on Friday night, but the goals market looks a decent option at an equally decent price with the hosts expected to win at a canter, and by a few goals.
Turkey v Montenegro Verdict
There have been four previous meetings between Turkey and Montenegro and the hosts have claimed two wins along with two draws so far, while the prospect of a few goals here as well look promising as three out of these last four encounters have also resulted in Over 2.5 goals.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
Other side bets worth considering:
Turkey win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.05
Correct Score: Turkey 3-1 @ 12.00
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| H | Iceland | 3-1 |
| A | Wales | 0-0 |
| A | Netherlands | 2-1 |
| A | Austria | 1-2 |
| A | Czech Republic | 1-2 |
| H | Wales | 1-2 |
| A | Iceland | 2-0 |
| H | Georgia | 1-3 |
| A | Belgium | 2-0 |
| H | North Macedonia | 1-0 |