UEFA Nations, played Saturday, October 12th, 2024
Here is our Poland v Portugal tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Portugal away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Poland slipped down into the relegation play-off spot in the Group 1 table following a 1-0 defeat away from home at Croatia last time out in the Nations League, while Portugal remained top of the group table after recording a second 2-1 win on the trot on home soil over Scotland on matchday 2 of this competition.
Poland began this new Nations League campaign in promising fashion as they registered a 3-2 win away from home at Scotland after producing what was an extremely disappointing Euro 2024 finals showing which yielded just a single point from their three group games in the tournament.
Back-to-back defeats at the hands of Netherlands and Austria in 2-1 and 3-1 losses respectively pretty much did for the Poles and although they earned a creditable 1-1 draw with France, the damage had already been done and they exited the tournament.
The hosts have been unlucky in recent times though as they find themselves once again in a difficult group which contains the likes of Portugal and Croatia but Poland know they must get something from this upcoming home game at the Stadion Narodowy to remain in the running for at least League A survival and not fall too far behind the top two nations.
Portugal sit top of the Group 1 table with the maximum six points after the opening two games of this new Nations League season following valuable back-to-back victories against Croatia and Scotland respectively and a third win on the trot in Poland would see Roberto Martinez's side take a huge step towards a place in the knockout rounds.
The visitors are now favourites to emerge from Group 1 and into the quarter-finals and overall results have certainly been encouraging for the Portuguese as they have slipped to just four defeats within their previous 22 internationals in all competitions while also picking up no fewer than 18 victories along the way.
Indeed, Portugal usually find a way to win and this is underlined by the fact that the visitors have not been involved in a draw since early June 2022 when they shared the points in a 1-1 draw with Spain, which spans a total of 33 matches!
In addition, Portugal have registered six wins from their last eight outings on the road.
Poland v Portugal Verdict
Poland had previously put together a solid looking eight-game unbeaten sequence in all competitions but the hosts are expected to face a tough assignment here on Saturday night especially as Portugal have not only won six of their last eight away games but the visitors have also kept six clean sheets in the process.
Portugal have also won two of the last three meetings against Poland.
Therefore, our main bet will be Portugal win @ 1.61
Other side bets worth considering:
Portugal win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.50
Correct Score: Portugal 2-1 @ 8.50
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| A | Croatia | 1-0 |
| A | Scotland | 2-3 |
| A | France | 1-1 |
| H | Austria | 1-3 |
| H | Netherlands | 1-2 |
| H | Scotland | 2-1 |
| H | Croatia | 2-1 |
| H | France | 0-0 |
| H | Slovenia | 0-0 |
| A | Georgia | 2-0 |