Northern Ireland v Luxembourg

UEFA Nations, played Thursday, September 5th, 2024

Here is our Northern Ireland v Luxembourg tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Northern Ireland home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Northern Ireland v Luxembourg Preview

Northern Ireland will head into their opening game in Group 3 of League C against an improving Luxembourg outfit on the back of a 2-0 home win against Andorra in an international friendly back in mid-June, while Luxembourg have been handed back-to-back defeats against France and Belgium in tough international friendlies in early June, so both teams will be keen to produce a positive result here at Windsor Park on Thursday night.

Northern Ireland failed to qualify for the Euro 2024 finals as they finished fourth from bottom in their qualifying Group H and indeed the Irish narrowly avoided relegation from League C at the end of the last UEFA Nations League campaign as they finished third from bottom in Group 2 level on points with bottom nation Cyprus and only a slightly better goal difference saved them from the drop down to League D.

A repeat of a third place finish this time around would result in Northern Ireland having to play a promotion/relegation play-off but recent results for Michael O'Neill's side have been fairly encouraging as the hosts have picked up wins against the likes of Denmark, Scotland and Andorra in recent times.

However, goals may be at a premium for this upcoming clash as seven out of Northern Ireland's last 10 home games at Windsor Park have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Luxembourg finished runners-up behind the eventual winners of League C Group 1, Turkey, but the visitors found themselves just two points shy of Turkey and that promising UEFA Nations League campaign earned them a place in the play-offs for a spot in the Euro 2024 finals.

However, Georgia recorded a 2-0 home win against Luxembourg in the Euro 2024 qualifying play-off semi-final but nevertheless, this was testament to how far Luxembourg have come in recent years as they are now staging serious challenges for a spot in major tournaments.

Recent results have seen Luxembourg claim wins against the likes of Bosnia-Herzegovina twice, Iceland and Kazakhstan and although they suffered a 2-0 defeat to Turkey at home in the UEFA Nations League, they managed to hold the Turks to a 3-3 draw away from home in Istanbul in the return fixture.

However, there's still work to do with regards form away from home as Luxembourg have picked up just three wins on the road in their last 10 outings along with being dealt four defeats as well; goals may also be in short supply as six of Luxembourg's last 10 away games in all competitions have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Northern Ireland v Luxembourg Verdict

Northern Ireland have lost just once in the previous five meetings against Luxembourg but the visitors are closing the gap and this could result in a low-scoring affair.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.64

Other side bets worth considering:

N. Ireland win @ 2.06

Correct Score: N. Ireland win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
53%
Tie
31%
Away
16%
Voting Is Now Closed
NORTHERN IRELAND V LUXEMBOURG HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-163
250
550
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
162
-225
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-200
150
TIE NO BET
1
2
-500
333
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Northern Ireland & BTTS Yes
450
Northern Ireland & BTTS No
110
Luxembourg & BTTS Yes
1600
Luxembourg & BTTS No
800
Tie & BTTS Yes
500
Tie & BTTS No
500
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Northern Ireland & Over 2.5
240
Northern Ireland & Under 2.5
175
Luxembourg & Over 2.5
1400
Luxembourg & Under 2.5
800
Tie & Over 2.5
2500
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
375
0-0
500
0-1
1000
2-0
375
1-1
600
0-2
2800
2-1
900
2-2
2500
1-2
2000
3-0
1100
3-3
10000
0-3
6600
3-1
1800
1-3
5000
For cup games the statistics below represent the leagues that each team plays in. Statistics are for league games only (last 5 games is all games).
NORTHERN IRELAND
LUXEMBOURG
RECENT FORM
LAST 5
W
T
W
L
W
LAST 5
W
L
W
L
L
NORTHERN IRELAND
HAndorra2-0
ASpain5-1
AScotland0-1
ARomania1-1
HDenmark2-0
LUXEMBOURG
ABelgium3-0
AFrance3-0
HKazakhstan2-1
AGeorgia2-0
ALiechtenstein0-1
FORM
FORM
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