Italy v France

UEFA Nations, played Sunday, November 17th, 2024

Here is our Italy v France tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Italy home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Italy vs France Preview

Italy registered what could prove to be a decisive 1-0 win away from home at Belgium on Thursday night to send the Azzurri to the top of the Group 2 table in League A and regardless of the result against France on Sunday night, the Italians have now secured their passage into the quarter-final stage of this edition of the Nations League competition.

Following a disastrous showing in the Euro 2024 finals which saw Italy pick up just a single win in the group stage and then crashing out to Switzerland in the round of last 16 on the back of losses to Spain and the aforementioned Swiss, Italy have turned things around in impressive fashion of late.

Indeed, Luciano Spalletti's side remain unbeaten after their opening five games in Group 2 which consists of collecting four wins and being involved in one draw which has lifted to the top of a tough looking group which includes the likes of France, Belgium and Israel.

Nevertheless, Italy have picked up vital wins against France and Belgium along with home and away victories against Israel to send them into the last eight of this current Nations League competition, while goals have also featured on a regular basis as well.

Indeed, four of Italy's five games in Group 2 to date have resulted in both teams scoring.

France were held to a highly disappointing 0-0 draw at home by the bottom nation in Group 2, Israel, on Thursday night but nevertheless that result has seen Les Bleus also secure their place in the quarter-finals as they now possess an unassailable six-point lead over third placed rivals, Belgium, with just one more group game remaining.

France have done just about enough to join Italy into the final eight of this season's competition but a few potential cracks have started to appear as the visitors were handed a heavy and humiliating 3-1 loss at home by Italy in the group opener along with being held to the aforementioned goalless draw by lowly Israel.

The opening loss to the Azzurri came off the back of a 2-1 defeat to Spain in the semi-finals of Euro 2024 and the absence of star striker Kylian Mbappe is a sign that all is not as it should be in the French camp as coach Didier Deschamps looks for his side to rekindle their former selves.

Results away from home have been indifferent at best as France have registered six wins within their last 10 outings on the road but have also slipped to three defeats as well.

Italy v France Verdict

Each of the last four meetings between Italy and France have resulted in both teams scoring so therefore the goals market appeals for the main pick here.

Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS Yes @ 1.80

Other side bets worth considering:

Italy win @ 2.75

Correct Score: Italy win & BTTS Yes @ 6.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
2-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
55%
Tie
33%
Away
12%
Voting Is Now Closed
ITALY V FRANCE HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
140
210
220
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-111
-125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
130
-167
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-250
175
TIE NO BET
1
2
-163
120
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Italy & BTTS Yes
450
Italy & BTTS No
275
France & BTTS Yes
650
France & BTTS No
400
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
650
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Italy & Over 2.5
333
Italy & Under 2.5
350
France & Over 2.5
500
France & Under 2.5
500
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
650
0-0
650
0-1
650
2-0
650
1-1
500
0-2
1200
2-1
1000
2-2
1400
1-2
1000
3-0
2500
3-3
5000
0-3
2800
3-1
2200
1-3
2500
For cup games the statistics below represent the leagues that each team plays in. Statistics are for league games only (last 5 games is all games).
ITALY
FRANCE
RECENT FORM
LAST 5
W
W
T
W
W
LAST 5
L
W
W
W
T
ITALY
ABelgium0-1
HIsrael4-1
HBelgium2-2
AIsrael1-2
AFrance1-3
FRANCE
HIsrael0-0
ABelgium1-2
AIsrael1-4
HBelgium2-0
HItaly1-3
FORM
FORM
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