UEFA Nations, played Saturday, September 7th, 2024
Here is our Greece v Finland tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Greece home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
Greece registered a 2-0 win away from home at Malta in their previous international which was a friendly back in mid-June and the upcoming hosts will be looking to build upon that result when they play host to Finland at the Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki on Saturday night, while Finland had to settle for a draw in a 2-2 stalemate away from home at Scotland in their last run-out ahead of this upcoming UEFA Nations League campaign.
Greece narrowly missed out on a place in the recent Euro 2024 finals as they progressed through the qualifying Path C route which resulted in a crushing 5-0 victory against Kazakhstan but then fell at the very last hurdle when they were denied via a penalty shoot-out against Georgia in the play-off final.
Greece had previously rekindled some of the sort of form which brought about their shock European Championship title in their last UEFA Nations League campaign as the Greeks finished top of Group 2 in League C by a significant six-point margin over runners-up Kosovo thanks to winning five of their six group games.
Despite losing 1-0 away at Cyprus, Greece racked up home and away wins against Northern Ireland and Kosovo as well as a resounding 3-0 home win against the Cypriots and the hosts will be keen to replicate this form here on Saturday night.
Finland finished their previous UEFA Nations League campaign in second place in Group 3 of League B behind the group winners, Bosnia-Herzegovina who edged the Fins out by a three-point cushion as the visitors produced a bit of an inconsistent group campaign overall.
Indeed, Finland won, drew and lost in equal measure as they recorded home and away wins against Montenegro, drew with Bosnia-Herzegovina and Romania but also lost to the latter two nations as well, so the visitors eventually came up short.
The bigger picture shows Finland have produced inconsistent results for the majority of their recent internationals in all competitions as they have managed to collect just eight wins out of their last 22 games overall while also slipping to 10 defeats as well, so this upcoming trip to the Stadio Georgios Karaiskáki looks to be a tricky one for Markku Kanerva's side on Saturday night.
In addition, Finland have recorded just three wins in their previous 11 outings on the road which were gained at Northern Ireland, Kazakhstan and San Marino but they have also been handed five defeats as well which does not bode well for this upcoming fixture.
Greece v Finland Verdict
Greece have won the last two meetings at home on the trot against Finland and a third looks likely here this Saturday.
Therefore, our main bet will be Greece win @ 1.70
Other side bets worth considering:
Greece win & Under 2.5 goals @ 3.50
Correct Score: Greece 1-0 @ 6.00
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| A | Malta | 0-2 |
| A | Germany | 2-1 |
| A | Georgia | 0-0 |
| H | Kazakhstan | 5-0 |
| H | France | 2-2 |
| A | Scotland | 2-2 |
| A | Portugal | 4-2 |
| H | Estonia | 2-1 |
| A | Wales | 4-1 |
| A | San Marino | 1-2 |