UEFA Nations, played Tuesday, November 19th, 2024
Here is our Albania v Ukraine tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
Albania earned a creditable point in a 0-0 draw at home against the Group 1 leaders Czech Republic in League B on Saturday which has helped maintain the host's ambitions of a possible top two finish, while Ukraine were also involved in a draw over the weekend, drawing 1-1 away from home at Georgia.
In what has become the tightest group in League B, only three points separate the group leaders Czech Republic and bottom placed nation Ukraine as we head into the final round of games in the group stage of this edition of the Nations League competition.
Albania cut their teeth on the international stage back in the summer when they qualified for the Euro 2024 finals but losses to European powerhouses Italy and Spain resulted in an early exit for the Balkans outfit.
Nevertheless, that experience may prove to be invaluable in Albania's progress in European competitions and indeed, having registered wins against Ukraine 2-1 and Georgia 1-0 in this current Nations League, both of which were away from home, Albania may well fancy their chances of securing a crucial result here on Tuesday night.
The prospect of goals on Tuesday night though do not look particularly promising as four out of Albania's five group games to date have resulted in Under 2.5 goals, each of which resulted in only one team scoring as well. Ukraine currently occupy bottom place in the Group 1 table with just five points under their belts ahead of this upcoming crucial fixture against Albania, with the visitors now in a ‘must win' situation as they prepare for this upcoming trip to Tirana on Tuesday night.
Due to the highly competitive nature of this Group 1 though, bizarrely a three-point haul by a healthy scoreline in Albania along with Czech Republic losing could actually result in Ukraine claiming the promotion play-off spot, while defeat would see the visitors automatically relegated down to League C.
Having managed to pick up just a single win though so far in this nations League campaign which came in the shape of a narrow 1-0 home win against Georgia, Ukraine are by no means guaranteed a result at Albania, along with the fact that Ukraine have managed to capture just three wins in their last 11 internationals overall.
In addition, Ukraine must improve upon an ordinary looking recent run of results on the road here on Tuesday night after collecting just two wins from their previous seven outings on their travels.
Albania v Ukraine Verdict
Ukraine have held the upper hand in previous exchanges against Albania as the visitors have won five of the last seven meetings but Albania with home advantage here are expected to be tough to beat in what could unfold into a low-scoring affair.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.66
Other side bets worth considering:
Draw @ 3.35
Correct Score: 1-1 @ 6.00
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| A | Georgia | 0-1 |
| A | Czech Republic | 2-0 |
| H | Georgia | 0-1 |
| A | Ukraine | 1-2 |
| H | Spain | 0-1 |
| H | Czech Republic | 1-1 |
| H | Georgia | 1-0 |
| A | Czech Republic | 3-2 |
| H | Albania | 1-2 |
| H | Belgium | 0-0 |