La Liga, played Tuesday, January 2nd, 2024
Here is our Valencia v Villarreal tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Villarreal away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Valencia registered a 1-0 win away from home at Rayo Vallecano last time out in La Liga which in turn ended a dismal five-match winless run in La Liga while Villarreal also collected all three points by way of a 3-2 home win against Celta Vigo which saw the visitors return to winning ways after losing their preceding two games on the trot in the Spanish top flight.
That recent win against Rayo Vallecano has helped lift Valencia up into the top half of the La Liga standings where they occupy 10th place and although the hosts have managed to pick up just three wins out of their last 13 matches overall, the hosts have produced some reasonable results lately on home soil at their Estadio de Mestalla as Ruben Baraja's side have lost just twice in their eight home games so far this season.
The two defeats came in the form of losses to Osasuna and Real Sociedad but wins so far in this campaign against the likes of Las Palmas, Atletico Madrid, Cadiz and Granada should give the hosts a welcome boost while goals have also been in short supply as six of Valencia's eight home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals (75%).
Villarreal have also found league wins hard to come by as the visitors have managed to capture just five wins to date this term with just three victories gained within their last 13 matches as well, so there's a certain symmetry between Valencia and Villarreal prior to this upcoming clash at the Estadio de Mestalla.
Wins against Granada, Osasuna and Celta Vigo have been outweighed by suffering six defeats within this 13-match period which has seen Marcelino's side handed defeats by Girona, Las Palmas, Athletic Bilbao, Atletico Madrid, Real Sociedad and Real Madrid along with being involved in four draws as well.
The prospects for an away win here for Villarreal also look a little shaky as the visitors have managed to gain just two wins from their eight outings on the road so far this season, so the straight win markets should be avoided for this upcoming clash especially as Villarreal have picked up just one win from their last seven away games.
Four of Villarreal's eight away games have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored so this upcoming clash could result in another low-scoring encounter on Tuesday night.
Valencia v Villarreal Verdict
Three of the last four meetings between Valencia and Villarreal have produced low-scoring encounters which have ended in a 1-1 draw in their previous clash along with a 2-0 win each for both Valencia and Villarreal as well, so this upcoming encounter at the Estadio de Mestalla may also follow this recent trend
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.90
Other side bets worth considering:
Villarreal win @ 3.10
Correct Score: Villarreal 1-0 @ 10.00
#AD Gambling problem? Call 1-800-Gambler 21+ to wager
| A | Rayo Vallecano | 0-1 |
| H | Barcelona | 1-1 |
| A | Getafe | 1-0 |
| A | Girona | 2-1 |
| H | Celta Vigo | 0-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Celta Vigo | 3-2 |
| A | Real Madrid | 4-1 |
| H | Real Sociedad | 0-3 |
| A | Sevilla | 1-1 |
| H | Osasuna | 3-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||