Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao

La Liga, played Thursday, January 4th, 2024

Here is our Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Sevilla home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Sevilla vs Athletic Bilbao Preview

Sevilla were dealt a 1-0 loss away from home at Atletico Madrid last time out in the Spanish top flight which means the hosts have now managed to collect just one win from their last 12 league matches in La Liga, while Athletic Bilbao extended their unbeaten run in the domestic top flight to eight games with a 1-0 home win against Las Palmas just before the Christmas break.

It's been a worrying lean period of results in La Liga for Sevilla whose only highlight in their previous 12 games in the domestic top flight came in the form of a 3-0 win away from home at second from bottom club, Granada, but having also slipped to five defeats and being involved in no fewer than six draws within this recent sequence of results, the prospects of a home win here for Sevilla do look a little unlikely.

However, the goals (or lack thereof) market appeals for this upcoming clash with Athletic Bilbao as seven of Sevilla's last 12 games overall have resulted in Under 2.5 goals (58%) but there is better news when looking at Sevilla's recent results on home soil at their Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.

Sevilla have lost just once in their last seven games at home and includes picking up wins against Las Palmas and Almeria, while four of these last seven home games have produced two goals or less.

Athletic Bilbao secured all three points with a 1-0 home win against Las Palmas last time out which not only extended the visitors' unbeaten run in La Liga to eight games but it also maintained Athletic Bilbao's place in the top five of the La Liga table prior to this upcoming trip to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán.

Five wins within these last eight games overall have seen Athletic Bilbao register important victories over Villarreal, Celta Vigo, Rayo Vallecano, Atletico Madrid and Las Palmas, although it should be noted that four of these five wins were achieved on home soil at their San Mamés Barria ground.

However, results away from home have been a lot more modest where Ernesto Valverde's side have been concerned as the visitors have managed to capture just three wins from their previous 12 outings on the road in La Liga while goals have also been in short supply with no fewer than nine of these 12 away games also resulting in Under 2.5 goals.

Sevilla v Athletic Bilbao Verdict

Both Sevilla and Athletic Bilbao head into this fixture on the back of some promising results (Sevilla at home and Athletic Bilbao overall) but both teams have been involved in low-scoring games of late as well and another low-scoring game could be on the cards here as well.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.80

Other side bets worth considering:

Sevilla win @ 3.10

Correct Score: Sevilla 1-0 @ 9.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
46%
Tie
37%
Away
17%
Voting Is Now Closed
SEVILLA V ATHLETIC BILBAO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
190
230
145
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-105
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
107
-138
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-300
240
TIE NO BET
1
2
100
-138
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Sevilla & BTTS Yes
500
Sevilla & BTTS No
400
Athletic Bilbao & BTTS Yes
400
Athletic Bilbao & BTTS No
300
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
800
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Sevilla & Over 2.5
400
Sevilla & Under 2.5
500
Athletic Bilbao & Over 2.5
300
Athletic Bilbao & Under 2.5
400
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
750
0-0
850
0-1
700
2-0
750
1-1
550
0-2
1100
2-1
1000
2-2
1400
1-2
900
3-0
2800
3-3
5000
0-3
2200
3-1
2200
1-3
2000
SEVILLA
ATHLETIC BILBAO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
L
L
W
L
LAST 5
T
W
T
W
W
SEVILLA
AAtletico Madrid1-0
AGranada0-3
HGetafe0-3
AMallorca1-0
HVillarreal1-1
All ResultsHome Results
ATHLETIC BILBAO
HLas Palmas1-0
HAtletico Madrid2-0
AGranada1-1
HRayo Vallecano4-0
AGirona1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
SEVILLA
ATHLETIC BILBAO
POSITION
16th
POS
5th
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
WON
17%
3
WON
10
56%
TIED
39%
7
TIED
5
28%
Sevilla are 4 games since a tie
LOST
44%
8
LOST
3
17%
Athletic Bilbao are 8 games since a loss
SCORED
23
SCORED
34
Athletic Bilbao have scored in their last 8 games
CONCEDED
25
CONCEDED
19
Athletic Bilbao have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
Athletic Bilbao have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 5 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
SEVILLA
ATHLETIC BILBAO
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
8
WON
22%
2
WON
3
38%
Sevilla are 5 games since a home win
TIED
44%
4
TIED
3
38%
LOST
33%
3
LOST
2
25%
SCORED
13
SCORED
9
Athletic Bilbao have scored in their last 3 away games
Sevilla have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 home games
CONCEDED
13
CONCEDED
8
Sevilla have conceded in their last 6 home games
Athletic Bilbao have conceded in their last 5 away games
KEY STATS
SEVILLA
ATHLETIC BILBAO
PLAYED
18
PLAYED
18
BTTS
61%
11
BTTS
7
39%
OVER 2.5
50%
9
OVER 2.5
9
50%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
13
OVER 1.5
15
83%
CORNERS
10.3
CORNERS
9.1
Sevilla are best in La Liga for high corners games
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