Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano

La Liga, played Sunday, November 5th, 2023

Here is our Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Real Madrid home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Preview

A Jude Bellingham-powered Real Madrid will be seeking to collect a fifth win in six games in the domestic top flight following their recent impressive 2-1 win away from home at Barcelona in the El Clasico, when they return to their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu to play host to eighth placed Rayo Vallecano with Carlo Ancelotti's side also looking to pull away at the top of the La Liga table with a win here.

Jude Bellingham has scored 10 out of Real Madrid's total of 23 goals so far this season and it's no coincidence that Real Madrid have won nine of their 11 matches played to date in this season's campaign which has placed them top of the pile but still level on points with a plucky Girona outfit.

Ancelotti's side have been dealt just the one defeat and that was a heavy 3-1 loss away from home at local rivals, Atletico Madrid, but the hosts have produced an exemplary sequence of results on home soil at their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu where they have chalked up four wins on the trot, scoring 10 goals and conceding just two in reply.

The bigger picture shows Real Madrid have suffered just the one defeat out of their previous 27 games in their own backyard, and having registered 20 wins in the process, the hosts look in great shape to add to their points tally here on Sunday night.

Rayo Vallecano dropped down to eighth place in the La Liga standings despite extending their unbeaten run in the domestic top flight to seven games overall but perhaps one too many stalemates have worked against the visitors in recent weeks.

Wins against Alaves and Las Palmas have been swamped by five draws and although this means Rayo Vallecano have been tough to beat in recent times, the visitors have nevertheless struggled to collect all three points this term.

Indeed, Rayo Vallecano have recorded just four wins from their opening 11 games which is all very well when playing the teams around them in the La Liga table but Real Madrid are expected to pose a very different challenge to the visitors at their Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Sunday night.

Rayo Vallecano's struggles to carve out wins on the road have also continued into this new season as the bigger picture shows Francisco's side have managed to capture just three wins from their last 15 outings on their travels, slipping to eight defeats within this period as well.

Real Madrid v Rayo Vallecano Verdict

Real Madrid as expected have held the upper hand in previous recent exchanges against Rayo Vallecano, winning three of the previous four meetings and another straightforward win for the hosts is expected again on Sunday night, especially as Bellingham has scored three goals in his last two games.

Therefore, our main bet will be Both Teams To Score No @ 1.80

Other side bets worth considering:

Real Madrid win & Both Teams To Score No @ 2.20

Anytime goalscorer: Jude Bellingham @ 2.10

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
57%
Tie
30%
Away
13%
Voting Is Now Closed
REAL MADRID V RAYO VALLECANO HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-450
550
1100
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
105
-143
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-211
160
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-700
450
TIE NO BET
1
2
-1600
900
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Real Madrid & BTTS Yes
187
Real Madrid & BTTS No
-110
Rayo Vallecano & BTTS Yes
2000
Rayo Vallecano & BTTS No
1800
Tie & BTTS Yes
700
Tie & BTTS No
1600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Real Madrid & Over 3.5
140
Real Madrid & Under 3.5
120
Rayo Vallecano & Over 3.5
4000
Rayo Vallecano & Under 3.5
1200
Tie & Over 3.5
2000
Tie & Under 3.5
700
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
800
0-0
1800
0-1
2800
2-0
800
1-1
1200
0-2
5000
2-1
850
2-2
2200
1-2
2800
3-0
650
3-3
6600
0-3
15000
3-1
1000
1-3
8000
REAL MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
W
T
W
LAST 5
T
T
T
W
T
REAL MADRID
ABarcelona1-2
ASevilla1-1
HOsasuna4-0
AGirona0-3
HLas Palmas2-0
All ResultsHome Results
RAYO VALLECANO
HReal Sociedad2-2
ALas Palmas0-1
ASevilla2-2
HMallorca2-2
ACadiz0-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
REAL MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
POSITION
2nd
POS
9th
PLAYED
11
PLAYED
11
WON
82%
9
WON
4
36%
TIED
9%
1
TIED
5
45%
Real Madrid have tied the fewest games in La Liga
LOST
9%
1
LOST
2
18%
Real Madrid have lost the fewest games in La Liga
Real Madrid are 5 games since a loss
Rayo Vallecano are 7 games since a loss
SCORED
23
SCORED
14
Real Madrid have scored in all games this season
Rayo Vallecano have scored in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
15
Real Madrid have conceded the fewest goals in La Liga
Real Madrid have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 5 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
REAL MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
PLAYED
4
PLAYED
6
WON
100%
4
WON
3
50%
Real Madrid have won all home games this season
TIED
0%
0
TIED
2
33%
Real Madrid have tied the fewest home games in La Liga
Real Madrid have not tied a home game this season
LOST
0%
0
LOST
1
17%
Real Madrid have lost the fewest home games in La Liga
SCORED
10
SCORED
7
Real Madrid have scored in all home games this season
CONCEDED
2
CONCEDED
3
Real Madrid have conceded the fewest goals at home in La Liga
Rayo Vallecano have conceded the fewest away goals in La Liga
Real Madrid have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
KEY STATS
REAL MADRID
RAYO VALLECANO
PLAYED
11
PLAYED
11
BTTS
55%
6
BTTS
4
36%
OVER 2.5
64%
7
OVER 2.5
4
36%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
91%
10
OVER 1.5
8
73%
CORNERS
9.6
CORNERS
8.4
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