Alaves v Real Madrid

La Liga, played Thursday, December 21st, 2023

Here is our Alaves v Real Madrid tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Real Madrid away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Alaves vs Real Madrid Preview

Alaves were dealt a second defeat on the trot in the Spanish top flight last weekend when they came off second best in a heavy 3-0 defeat away from home at the La Liga leaders, Girona, while second placed Real Madrid maintained the pressure on the league leaders by recording an emphatic 4-1 home win against Villarreal which in turn extended the visitors' unbeaten run in La Liga to 11 games overall.

Following that second defeat on the trot, Alaves have dropped down the La Liga table to 13th place where they possess only a three-point cushion above the relegation zone but although the hosts hold home advantage at their Estadio de Mendizorroza on Thursday night, Luis Garcia's side face a very tough challenge in the shape of Real Madrid in this clash.

The bigger picture shows Alaves have managed to capture just four wins within their total of 17 league matches played to date in the domestic top flight, but the glimmer of hope for the home side is that each of these four wins were achieved on home soil and the hosts will be hoping they can utilise home advantage once again on Thursday night.

Real Madrid kept up the pressure on the surprise package of this season's La Liga campaign, Girona, as Carlo Ancelotti's side registered a comprehensive 4-1 rout of Villarreal last weekend to remain in second place in the table and just two points behind the league leaders.

This recent impressive win against Villarreal has extended Real Madrid's unbeaten run to 11 games and Ancelotti's side will no doubt be eyeing off another three points when they hit the road to take on lowly Alaves here on Thursday night and in turn collect a 14th win in 18 games in the process.

The visitors have been dealt just the single loss so far in this season's campaign which came in the shape of a 3-1 loss away from home at local rivals, Atletico Madrid, but aside from that rare loss, Real Madrid have been dominant in the majority of their games so far in La Liga.

13 wins in 17 games to date underlines another successful start to a Spanish top flight season for Real Madrid and having won six of their nine outings this term, the visitors look in good shape to add to their points tally at the Estadio de Mendizorroza on Thursday night.

Alaves v Real Madrid Verdict

Alaves know their best chance of getting the upper hand over Real Madrid will be at home but Real Madrid have lost just once in their last 10 outings on the road which includes seven wins and having also won six of the last seven meetings against Alaves, the visitors look to be in the driving seat in this fixture.

Therefore, our main bet will be Real Madrid win @ 1.53

Other side bets worth considering:

Real Madrid win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.37

Correct Score: Real Madrid 2-1 @ 8.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Away Win
1-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
25%
Tie
31%
Away
44%
Voting Is Now Closed
ALAVES V REAL MADRID HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
450
320
-175
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-110
-110
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-118
-105
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-400
300
TIE NO BET
1
2
300
-450
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Alaves & BTTS Yes
900
Alaves & BTTS No
900
Real Madrid & BTTS Yes
240
Real Madrid & BTTS No
162
Tie & BTTS Yes
450
Tie & BTTS No
1100
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Alaves & Over 2.5
800
Alaves & Under 2.5
900
Real Madrid & Over 2.5
140
Real Madrid & Under 2.5
300
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
400
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
1400
0-0
1000
0-1
600
2-0
1400
1-1
700
0-2
650
2-1
1600
2-2
1800
1-2
750
3-0
5000
3-3
5000
0-3
1000
3-1
4000
1-3
1200
ALAVES
REAL MADRID
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
T
L
L
LAST 5
W
W
W
T
W
ALAVES
AGirona3-0
HLas Palmas0-1
AMallorca0-0
HGranada3-1
ABarcelona2-1
All ResultsHome Results
REAL MADRID
HVillarreal4-1
AReal Betis1-1
HGranada2-0
ACadiz0-3
HValencia5-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ALAVES
REAL MADRID
POSITION
15th
POS
2nd
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
WON
24%
4
WON
13
76%
Alaves are 3 games since a win
TIED
24%
4
TIED
3
18%
LOST
53%
9
LOST
1
6%
Real Madrid have lost the fewest games in La Liga
Real Madrid are 11 games since a loss
SCORED
14
SCORED
38
Alaves have scored the fewest goals in La Liga
Real Madrid have scored in their last 5 games
Alaves have not scored in their last 3 games
Alaves have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
23
CONCEDED
11
Real Madrid have conceded the fewest goals in La Liga
Real Madrid have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 11 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ALAVES
REAL MADRID
PLAYED
8
PLAYED
9
WON
50%
4
WON
6
67%
TIED
12%
1
TIED
2
22%
Alaves are 3 games since a home tie
LOST
38%
3
LOST
1
11%
SCORED
10
SCORED
17
Real Madrid have scored in all away games this season
CONCEDED
10
CONCEDED
7
Real Madrid have conceded the fewest away goals in La Liga
Alaves have not conceded 2 or more in their last 4 home games
Real Madrid have not conceded 2 or more in their last 5 away games
KEY STATS
ALAVES
REAL MADRID
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
BTTS
41%
7
BTTS
9
53%
OVER 2.5
29%
5
OVER 2.5
10
59%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
65%
11
OVER 1.5
15
88%
CORNERS
8.2
CORNERS
9.1
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