Maritimo v Estrela Amadora

Primeira Liga, played Sunday, June 11th, 2023

Here is our Maritimo v Estrela Amadora tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a tie. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Maritimo vs Estrela Preview

Sunday evening brings us a Portuguese showdown at the Estádio dos Barreiros with Primeira Liga side, Maritimo, taking on Segunda Liga side, Estrela, for the right to Portuguese top flight football next season and whether the hosts remain a top flight club or Estrela take their place.

Maritimo finished third from bottom in this season's Primeira Liga and eight points adrift of Portimonense and safety in what was a particularly disappointing campaign for the hosts who managed to capture a total of just seven wins throughout the whole campaign.

Maritimo's top flight status now hinges upon this return leg at their Estádio dos Barreiros with the hosts 2-1 down after the recent 1st leg defeat away at Estrela, and having won just once in their last seven matches overall, Maritimo look to have their work cut out here.

Five defeats within this period suggest Maritimo could be bowing out of the Primeira Liga following recent losses to Famalicao, Vitoria Guimaraes, Sporting Lisbon, Estoril and Estrela, but the goals market looks appealing as six of Maritimo's last seven games have seen both teams score (85.7%).

Estrela finished in third place at the end of the Portuguese Segunda Liga season and therefore have qualified for this relegation/promotion play-off tie with Maritimo and the visitors find themselves just 90 minutes away from securing a place in next season's Portuguese top flight.

Estrela have been in pretty solid form since mid-December of last year as the visitors have lost just twice in their previous 23 matches overall in all competitions, both losses incidentally coming in the form of defeats on home soil at their Estádio José Gomes with losses to Moreirense and Nacional.

However, 12 wins and nine draws suggest Estrela may again find the edge in this 2nd leg tie at the Estádio dos Barreiros but the possibility of a draw also cannot be ruled out, while the goals market also looks promising as six of Estrela's last 10 matches have also resulted in both teams scoring.

In addition, seven of Estrela's last 10 away matches have also resulted in both teams scoring and includes no fewer than four draws as well.

Maritimo v Estoril Verdict

Maritimo know they must win this 2nd leg in order to have any chance of retaining their Portuguese top flight status while Estrela bring an unbeaten run of 11 away games under their belts into this decisive return leg at the Estádio dos Barreiros.

Both teams scored in last week's 1st leg and it looks likely that both teams will hit the back of the net again on Sunday evening in what could end a possible score-draw.

Therefore, our main bet will be Both Teams To Score Yes @ 1.83

Other side bets worth considering:

Draw @ 3.50

Correct score: 1-1 @ 7.00

TIP
Small Wager on
Tie
1-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
MARITIMO V ESTRELA AMADORA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-110
250
275
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-110
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-105
-118
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-333
240
TIE NO BET
1
2
-250
175
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Maritimo & BTTS Yes
300
Maritimo & BTTS No
240
Estrela Amadora & BTTS Yes
650
Estrela Amadora & BTTS No
550
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
900
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Maritimo & Over 2.5
220
Maritimo & Under 2.5
333
Estrela Amadora & Over 2.5
550
Estrela Amadora & Under 2.5
650
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
333
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
900
0-1
1000
2-0
550
1-1
550
0-2
1800
2-1
700
2-2
1400
1-2
1200
3-0
1600
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
1600
1-3
3300
MARITIMO
ESTRELA AMADORA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
T
L
W
L
L
LAST 5
L
T
L
W
W
MARITIMO
AEstrela Amadora2-1
AEstoril3-1
HVizela1-0
ASporting Lisbon2-1
HRio Ave2-2
ESTRELA AMADORA
HMaritimo2-1
APenafiel2-4
HNacional0-1
ATrofense2-2
HMoreirense2-4
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
MARITIMO
ESTRELA AMADORA
POSITION
16th
POS
3rd
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
WON
21%
7
WON
16
47%
TIED
15%
5
TIED
15
44%
Maritimo are 4 games since a tie
Estrela Amadora are 3 games since a tie
LOST
65%
22
LOST
3
9%
Estrela Amadora have lost the fewest games in Liga Portugal 2
SCORED
32
SCORED
55
Maritimo have scored in their last 8 games
Maritimo have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
63
CONCEDED
35
Maritimo have conceded the most goals in Primeira Liga
Estrela Amadora have conceded in their last 5 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
MARITIMO
ESTRELA AMADORA
PLAYED
17
PLAYED
17
WON
35%
6
WON
8
47%
TIED
18%
3
TIED
8
47%
Estrela Amadora have tied the most away games in Liga Portugal 2
LOST
47%
8
LOST
1
6%
Estrela Amadora have lost the fewest away games in Liga Portugal 2
SCORED
21
SCORED
27
Maritimo have scored in their last 5 home games
Estrela Amadora have scored in their last 10 away games
CONCEDED
23
CONCEDED
17
Estrela Amadora have conceded the fewest away goals in Liga Portugal 2
Estrela Amadora have conceded in their last 3 away games
KEY STATS
MARITIMO
ESTRELA AMADORA
PLAYED
34
PLAYED
34
BTTS
56%
19
BTTS
23
68%
OVER 2.5
59%
20
OVER 2.5
17
50%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
76%
26
OVER 1.5
26
76%
CORNERS
11
CORNERS
10.4
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