Serie B, played Thursday, May 23rd, 2024
Here is our Ternana v Bari tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Ternana home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.
The 2nd leg of this Relegation Play-Off final between Ternana and Bari is evenly poised after last week's 1-1 draw at the Stadio Comunale San Nicola as Bari were unable to make home advantage count and it's now the turn of Thursday night's hosts, Ternana, to see if they can make the most of their return to the Stadio Libero Liberati and avoid relegation down to Serie C.
Ternana finished the regular Serie B season in 16th place in the domestic second tier table despite winning their last two games of the season on the trot which came by way of victories over Catanzaro 1-0 at home and a 1-0 win away from home at FeralpiSalo respectively, and having held fellow relegation candidates Bari to a 1-1 draw on the road last week, Roberto Breda's side will be quietly confident that they can get the job done in this return leg on Thursday night.
Results overall this season have been a mixed bag though for Ternana and these have landed the hosts in their current predicament and having won just twice in their last eight home games, the hosts look to have a tough assignment before them here.
Goals may also be at a premium as seven of Ternana's last eight home games have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.
Bari finished in 17th place in the Serie B table at the end of the regular season and the hosts may well be kicking themselves for not capitalising upon home advantage in last week's 1st leg as they had to make do with a 1-1 draw despite being 1-0 up with just eight minutes left remaining on the clock.
The visitors now look to be up against it as they make their way to the Stadio Libero Liberati on the back of recording just one win from their previous 14 games overall in the Italian second tier which came in the form of a 2-0 home win against Brescia on the final day of the regular season.
However, that win was a case of too little too late for Federico Giampaolo's side as they now need to take their chances in this relegation play-off final against Ternana having slipped to seven defeats within their last 14 matches overall.
Five of these seven defeats within this 14-game period have been inflicted upon Bari on their travels with losses incurred at Sudtirol, Catanzaro, Venezia, Como and Cosenza, while no fewer than 10 of Bari's last 14 games overall have also resulted in Under 2.5 goals being scored.
Ternana v Bari Verdict
Ternana are unbeaten in their last four home games against Bari and the hosts look to hold the edge here in what could be a low-scoring war of attrition.
Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.75
Other side bets worth considering:
Ternana win @ 2.37
Correct Score: Ternana 1-0 @ 9.00
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| A | Bari | 1-1 |
| A | Feralpisalo | 0-1 |
| H | Catanzaro | 1-0 |
| A | FC Sudtirol | 4-3 |
| H | Ascoli | 0-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Ternana | 1-1 |
| H | Brescia | 2-0 |
| A | Cittadella | 1-1 |
| H | Parma | 1-1 |
| A | Cosenza | 4-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||