AC Milan v Roma

Serie A, played Sunday, January 14th, 2024

Here is our AC Milan v Roma tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a AC Milan home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

AC Milan vs Roma Preview

AC Milan collected a third win in four games in the Italian top flight last weekend when they recorded a 3-0 win away from home at Empoli which helped the hosts remain in third place in the Serie A standings, while Roma could only muster a point in a 1-1 draw at home with Atalanta making it just one win from their last five matches.

Previous recent wins against Monza and Sassuolo have also contributed to AC Milan's rise in form once again in the domestic top flight where the hosts have won five out of their last seven games overall including earlier back-to-back home wins against Fiorentina and Frosinone and although AC Milan were handed a 3-2 loss away from home at Atalanta, Sunday's hosts have re-ignited their Serie A campaign in recent weeks.

Stefano Pioli's side had previously suffered a stumble in form from towards the end of October through to mid-November which included losses at the hands of Juventus and Udinese along with draws against Napoli and Lecce, but recent results suggest AC Milan have come out of the other side and rekindled their previous form.

The bigger picture shows AC Milan have lost just twice in their last 18 home games in Serie A, collecting no fewer than 13 wins in the process.

Roma dropped down to eighth place in the Serie A standings after being held to a disappointing 1-1 draw at home with Atalanta as the visitors have also experienced a lull in results and form which has seen Jose Mourinho's side pick up just the one win from their last five matches overall in the Italian top flight.

That singular success in recent weeks came in the form of a 2-0 home win against Napoli but having also been dealt defeats away from home at Bologna and Juventus along with an earlier draw at home with Fiorentina, Roma now find themselves in eighth place in the Serie A standings and four points adrift of the top four pack prior to this tough looking trip to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza to take on AC Milan.

The majority of Roma's success so far in this season's Serie A campaign has also been achieved on home soil at their Stadio Olimpico where six of their eight wins to date have been registered, while results away from home continue to disappoint as the wider picture shows Roma have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 13 outings on the road, losing seven of these games.

AC Milan v Roma Verdict

AC Milan hold a solid record against Roma in previous exchanges as the hosts are unbeaten in the last eight meetings, winning five of these encounters.

Therefore, our main bet will be AC Milan win @ 2.20

Other side bets worth considering:

AC Milan win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.33

Correct Score: AC Milan 2-0 @ 9.50

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
2-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
46%
Tie
37%
Away
17%
Voting Is Now Closed
AC MILAN V ROMA HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
115
220
275
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-105
-125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
120
-154
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-250
200
TIE NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
AC Milan & BTTS Yes
375
AC Milan & BTTS No
240
Roma & BTTS Yes
700
Roma & BTTS No
500
Tie & BTTS Yes
350
Tie & BTTS No
700
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
AC Milan & Over 2.5
275
AC Milan & Under 2.5
333
Roma & Over 2.5
550
Roma & Under 2.5
550
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
275
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
600
0-0
700
0-1
800
2-0
600
1-1
500
0-2
1600
2-1
850
2-2
1400
1-2
1100
3-0
2000
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
1800
1-3
2800
AC MILAN
ROMA
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
W
T
W
W
LAST 5
T
L
W
L
T
AC MILAN
AEmpoli0-3
HSassuolo1-0
ASalernitana2-2
HMonza3-0
AAtalanta3-2
All ResultsHome Results
ROMA
HAtalanta1-1
AJuventus1-0
HNapoli2-0
ABologna2-0
HFiorentina1-1
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
AC MILAN
ROMA
POSITION
3rd
POS
9th
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
WON
63%
12
WON
8
42%
TIED
16%
3
TIED
5
26%
AC Milan have tied the fewest games in Serie A
LOST
21%
4
LOST
6
32%
AC Milan are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
35
SCORED
31
AC Milan have scored in their last 8 games
CONCEDED
20
CONCEDED
21
AC Milan have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
Roma have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 3 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
AC MILAN
ROMA
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
9
WON
78%
7
WON
2
22%
AC Milan have won 4 home games in a row
TIED
0%
0
TIED
2
22%
AC Milan have tied the fewest home games in Serie A
AC Milan have not tied a home game this season
Roma are 3 games since an away tie
LOST
22%
2
LOST
5
56%
SCORED
15
SCORED
9
AC Milan have scored in their last 4 home games
CONCEDED
4
CONCEDED
13
AC Milan have conceded the fewest goals at home in Serie A
Roma have conceded in their last 3 away games
AC Milan have not conceded 2 or more goals in a home game this season
KEY STATS
AC MILAN
ROMA
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
BTTS
47%
9
BTTS
11
58%
OVER 2.5
58%
11
OVER 2.5
9
47%
AC Milan are best in Serie A for over 2.5 goals games
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
13
OVER 1.5
15
79%
CORNERS
8.4
CORNERS
7.6
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