Serie A, played Friday, April 12th, 2024
Here is our Lazio v Salernitana tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Lazio home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Lazio were handed a fourth defeat in six games in Serie A in last weekend's 1-0 loss to local rivals Roma which has left the hosts sitting in eighth place in the domestic top flight table and four points adrift of the top six clubs, while Salernitana gained a point in a high-scoring 2-2 draw at home with Sassuolo but nevertheless that result only extended the visitors' winless run to 13 games in Serie A.
Lazio have previously slumped to defeats at the hands of Fiorentina, AC Milan and Udinese but Igor Tudor's side have also managed to pick up wins against Frosinone and most impressive of all, a 1-0 home win against Juventus, so Lazio will be keen to make the most of the visit of bottom of the table Salernitana on Friday night, especially with home advantage behind them.
Recent results on home soil though have been fairly ordinary from Lazio's perspective as the hosts have managed to capture just one win from their last five games overall, being handed three defeats in the process but three of these last five games only saw one team score and included a 0-0 stalemate with Napoli.
Indeed, the bigger picture shows that both teams not scoring has occurred in seven of Lazio's last 10 home games.
Salernitana know they need a miracle to avoid almost certain relegation from the Italian top flight now as the visitors find themselves 10 points adrift of second from bottom club Sassuolo and 12 points behind fourth from bottom side Verona and safety ahead of this upcoming trip to the Stadio Olimpico to take on Lazio on Friday night.
Despite picking up a point in last weekend's 2-2 draw at home with fellow strugglers Sassuolo, it's now 13 games without a win for Stefano Colantuono's side which consists of no fewer than 10 defeats and picking up just three draws within this miserable sequence of results.
The majority of Salernitana's defeats during this period (six) were handed out to them on home soil at their Stadio Arechi but four defeats on the road at the likes of Napoli, Inter Milan, Cagliari and Bologna also suggest that the visitors are expected to struggle on their travels again on Friday night.
Salernitana also possess a wretched looking record away from home in Serie A as well, with the visitors collecting just one win from their last 24 outings on the road while both teams have failed to score in 11 of these away games too.
Lazio v Salernitana Verdict
Lazio have held the upper hand in previous exchanges between themselves and Salernitana as the hosts have won four of the previous six meetings with three of these four victories also denying Salernitana a goal.
Therefore, our main bet will be BTTS No @ 1.66
Other side bets worth considering:
Lazio win & BTTS No @ 2.00
Correct Score: Lazio 2-0 @ 6.00
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| A | Roma | 1-0 |
| H | Juventus | 1-0 |
| A | Frosinone | 2-3 |
| H | Udinese | 1-2 |
| H | AC Milan | 0-1 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Sassuolo | 2-2 |
| A | Bologna | 3-0 |
| H | Lecce | 0-1 |
| A | Cagliari | 4-2 |
| A | Udinese | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||