Fiorentina v Lecce

Serie A, played Friday, February 28th, 2025

Here is our Fiorentina v Lecce tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Fiorentina home win. Our confidence in this pick was low relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Fiorentina vs Lecce Preview

Fiorentina will be desperate to avoid a fourth league defeat on the trot in the Italian top flight on Friday night after their latest defeat last weekend at the hands of Verona 1-0 away from home, but the upcoming hosts will at least now hold advantage at their Stadio Artemio Franchi for this upcoming clash against lowly Lecce.

Lecce's winless run in Serie A was extended to three games as well last weekend as the visitors suffered a 1-0 defeat at home to Udinese which followed previous back-to-back 0-0 stalemates, leaving Marco Giampaolo's side occupying a lowly 16th place in the Serie A table ahead of Friday night's fixture at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

Fiorentina had previously stumbled to defeats against Inter Milan and Como prior to last weekend's loss but the hosts will be hoping they can rekindle the sort of form which brought them a three-match winning streak beforehand as they prepare for this upcoming visit of Lecce.

Victories secured against the likes of Lazio, Genoa and most impressive of all, a 3-0 home win against the current league leaders of Serie A, Inter Milan, will no doubt give Fiorentina plenty of reasons to believe that they can return to winning ways on Friday night.

The bigger picture shows Fiorentina have slipped to just three losses from their last 17 home games at their Stadio Artemio Franchi while collecting nine wins in the process.

Lecce have found league wins tough to come by so far in this season's Serie A campaign as the visitors have managed to claim just five wins from their previous 23 matches overall whilst also being handed 11 defeats within this period as well.

Three of these five wins have been achieved on their travels as Marco Giampaolo's side have registered important wins on the road at Venezia, Empoli and Parma respectively, but this upcoming trip to face sixth placed Fiorentina looks to be a tough assignment for the visitors.

The aforementioned three away wins have also proved to be Lecce's only highlights from their previous 15 outings on the road in Serie A and having also been handed eight defeats within this sequence as well as failing to score in no fewer than nine of these 15 away games, Lecce look to have their work cut out here on Friday night.

In addition, Lecce have managed to keep just four clean sheets within these last 15 away games as well, making this upcoming trip to the Stadio Artemio Franchi a potentially daunting one.

Fiorentina v Lecce Verdict

Lecce may well be bracing themselves as the visitors were dealt a comprehensive 6-0 thrashing by Fiorentina at home last October, and the upcoming hosts will be confident they can claim the three points again on Friday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be Fiorentina win @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Correct Score: Fiorentina 1-0 @ 6.50

TIP
Small Wager on
Home Win
1-0
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
44%
Tie
36%
Away
20%
Voting Is Now Closed
FIORENTINA V LECCE HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
-112
225
375
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
105
-143
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
130
-163
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-225
175
TIE NO BET
1
2
-300
225
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Fiorentina & BTTS Yes
375
Fiorentina & BTTS No
175
Lecce & BTTS Yes
1000
Lecce & BTTS No
600
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
600
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Fiorentina & Over 2.5
250
Fiorentina & Under 2.5
260
Lecce & Over 2.5
850
Lecce & Under 2.5
650
Tie & Over 2.5
1600
Tie & Under 2.5
260
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
500
0-0
650
0-1
1000
2-0
500
1-1
550
0-2
2200
2-1
800
2-2
1800
1-2
1600
3-0
1200
3-3
6600
0-3
5000
3-1
1600
1-3
4000
FIORENTINA
LECCE
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
L
L
L
LAST 5
L
W
T
T
L
FIORENTINA
AHellas Verona1-0
HComo0-2
AInter Milan2-1
HGenoa2-1
ALazio1-2
All ResultsHome Results
LECCE
HUdinese0-1
AMonza0-0
HBologna0-0
AParma1-3
HInter Milan0-4
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
FIORENTINA
LECCE
POSITION
9th
POS
16th
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
26
WON
44%
11
WON
6
24%
Fiorentina are 3 games since a win
Lecce are 3 games since a win
TIED
24%
6
TIED
7
28%
Fiorentina are 5 games since a tie
LOST
32%
8
LOST
13
52%
Fiorentina have lost 3 games in a row
SCORED
38
SCORED
18
Lecce have scored the fewest goals in Serie A
Fiorentina have not scored in their last 2 games
Lecce have not scored in their last 3 games
Fiorentina have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
Lecce have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
28
CONCEDED
42
Fiorentina have conceded in their last 11 games
Lecce have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
FIORENTINA
LECCE
PLAYED
12
PLAYED
13
WON
50%
6
WON
3
23%
TIED
25%
3
TIED
2
15%
LOST
25%
3
LOST
8
62%
SCORED
19
SCORED
9
Lecce have scored the fewest away goals in Serie A
CONCEDED
15
CONCEDED
20
Fiorentina have conceded in their last 5 home games
KEY STATS
FIORENTINA
LECCE
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
26
BTTS
56%
14
BTTS
9
35%
Lecce are best in Serie A for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
56%
14
OVER 2.5
11
42%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
72%
18
OVER 1.5
15
58%
Lecce are best in Serie A for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8
CORNERS
9.6
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