Atalanta v AC Milan

Serie A, played Friday, December 6th, 2024

Here is our Atalanta v AC Milan tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Atalanta home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Atalanta vs AC Milan Preview

Atalanta know they have a good chance of lifting themselves up into top spot in the Italian top flight table on Friday night when they play host to AC Milan and having won their last eight games on the trot, Gian Piero Gasperini's side look in good shape to do just that.

AC Milan extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to four games last weekend when they registered a fairly straightforward 3-0 home win against Empoli but despite picking up three points last time out, the visitors still remain on the fringes of the top six clubs in the table.

An eight-match winning streak certainly places Atalanta in a seemingly strong position ahead of this upcoming clash at their Gewiss Stadium on Friday night which includes picking up four of these eight recent wins on home soil.

Recent home wins against Genoa 5-1, Verona 6-1, Monza 2-0 and Udinese 2-1 respectively have not only seen Atalanta pick up maximum points in each of their last four home games but three of these four home games have also produced three goals or more in the process.

Indeed, there have been Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 out of Atalanta's 14 league matches played to date this term and together with the strong likelihood of a home win here, goals and a home win look to be a good proposition.

A four-match unbeaten sequence in the Italian top flight will give AC Milan reason to feel upbeat about their chances of gaining a result of some sort at the Gewiss Stadium on Friday night as the visitors look to build upon recent wins against Monza and Empoli respectively.

AC Milan still trail the top six pack by a four-point margin though and this upcoming trip to face Atalanta in their own backyard on the back of eight straight wins on the trot looks to be a tough assignment for Paulo Fonseca's side, especially as AC Milan have managed to capture just two wins in their previous nine outings on the road. Goals look set to feature though at the Gewiss Stadium as nine out of AC Milan's previous 13 games overall in the domestic top flight have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored along with failing to score in just one of their previous 26 away games in Serie A.

In addition, no fewer than 17 of AC Milan's last 26 away games in Serie A have also seen the visitors score two goals or more as well.

Atalanta v AC Milan Verdict

Two out of the last three meetings between Atalanta and AC Milan have resulted in Over 2.5 goals and further goals look set to unfold here on Friday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Atalanta win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.87

Correct Score: Atalanta 3-2 @ 21.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Home Win
3-2
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
53%
Tie
30%
Away
17%
Voting Is Now Closed
ATALANTA V AC MILAN HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
105
250
260
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-150
110
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
-138
110
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-400
300
TIE NO BET
1
2
-200
150
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Atalanta & BTTS Yes
300
Atalanta & BTTS No
275
AC Milan & BTTS Yes
550
AC Milan & BTTS No
550
Tie & BTTS Yes
333
Tie & BTTS No
1100
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Atalanta & Over 2.5
210
Atalanta & Under 2.5
400
AC Milan & Over 2.5
450
AC Milan & Under 2.5
700
Tie & Over 2.5
1000
Tie & Under 2.5
350
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
850
0-0
1200
0-1
1100
2-0
850
1-1
550
0-2
1800
2-1
800
2-2
1100
1-2
1100
3-0
2000
3-3
4000
0-3
3300
3-1
1600
1-3
2200
ATALANTA
AC MILAN
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
W
W
W
W
W
LAST 5
L
W
T
T
W
ATALANTA
ARoma0-2
AParma1-3
HUdinese2-1
ANapoli0-3
HMonza2-0
All ResultsHome Results
AC MILAN
HEmpoli3-0
HJuventus0-0
ACagliari3-3
AMonza0-1
HNapoli0-2
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ATALANTA
AC MILAN
POSITION
2nd
POS
7th
PLAYED
14
PLAYED
13
WON
71%
10
WON
6
43%
Atalanta have won the most games in Serie A
Atalanta have won 8 games in a row
TIED
7%
1
TIED
4
29%
Atalanta are 8 games since a tie
LOST
21%
3
LOST
3
21%
Atalanta are 9 games since a loss
AC Milan are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
36
SCORED
23
Atalanta have scored the most goals in Serie A
Atalanta have scored in their last 11 games
CONCEDED
16
CONCEDED
14
AC Milan have achieved a shutout in their last 2 games
Atalanta have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 9 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ATALANTA
AC MILAN
PLAYED
6
PLAYED
6
WON
83%
5
WON
2
33%
Atalanta have won 4 home games in a row
TIED
0%
0
TIED
2
33%
Atalanta have tied the fewest home games in Serie A
Atalanta have not tied a home game this season
LOST
17%
1
LOST
2
33%
SCORED
20
SCORED
10
Atalanta have scored the most goals at home in Serie A
Atalanta have scored in all home games this season
AC Milan have scored in all away games this season
CONCEDED
8
CONCEDED
10
Atalanta have not conceded 2 or more in their last 4 home games
KEY STATS
ATALANTA
AC MILAN
PLAYED
14
PLAYED
13
BTTS
57%
8
BTTS
6
46%
OVER 2.5
71%
10
OVER 2.5
9
69%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
100%
14
OVER 1.5
10
77%
Atalanta are best in Serie A for over 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
7.1
CORNERS
8.4
Atalanta are best in Serie A for low corners games
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