Serie A, played Friday, December 6th, 2024
Here is our Atalanta v AC Milan tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Atalanta home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Atalanta know they have a good chance of lifting themselves up into top spot in the Italian top flight table on Friday night when they play host to AC Milan and having won their last eight games on the trot, Gian Piero Gasperini's side look in good shape to do just that.
AC Milan extended their unbeaten run in Serie A to four games last weekend when they registered a fairly straightforward 3-0 home win against Empoli but despite picking up three points last time out, the visitors still remain on the fringes of the top six clubs in the table.
An eight-match winning streak certainly places Atalanta in a seemingly strong position ahead of this upcoming clash at their Gewiss Stadium on Friday night which includes picking up four of these eight recent wins on home soil.
Recent home wins against Genoa 5-1, Verona 6-1, Monza 2-0 and Udinese 2-1 respectively have not only seen Atalanta pick up maximum points in each of their last four home games but three of these four home games have also produced three goals or more in the process.
Indeed, there have been Over 2.5 goals scored in 10 out of Atalanta's 14 league matches played to date this term and together with the strong likelihood of a home win here, goals and a home win look to be a good proposition.
A four-match unbeaten sequence in the Italian top flight will give AC Milan reason to feel upbeat about their chances of gaining a result of some sort at the Gewiss Stadium on Friday night as the visitors look to build upon recent wins against Monza and Empoli respectively.
AC Milan still trail the top six pack by a four-point margin though and this upcoming trip to face Atalanta in their own backyard on the back of eight straight wins on the trot looks to be a tough assignment for Paulo Fonseca's side, especially as AC Milan have managed to capture just two wins in their previous nine outings on the road. Goals look set to feature though at the Gewiss Stadium as nine out of AC Milan's previous 13 games overall in the domestic top flight have resulted in Over 2.5 goals being scored along with failing to score in just one of their previous 26 away games in Serie A.
In addition, no fewer than 17 of AC Milan's last 26 away games in Serie A have also seen the visitors score two goals or more as well.
Atalanta v AC Milan Verdict
Two out of the last three meetings between Atalanta and AC Milan have resulted in Over 2.5 goals and further goals look set to unfold here on Friday night.
Therefore, our main bet will be Over 2.5 goals @ 1.72
Other side bets worth considering:
Atalanta win & Over 2.5 goals @ 2.87
Correct Score: Atalanta 3-2 @ 21.00
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| A | Roma | 0-2 |
| A | Parma | 1-3 |
| H | Udinese | 2-1 |
| A | Napoli | 0-3 |
| H | Monza | 2-0 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Empoli | 3-0 |
| H | Juventus | 0-0 |
| A | Cagliari | 3-3 |
| A | Monza | 0-1 |
| H | Napoli | 0-2 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||