Serie A, played Sunday, January 14th, 2024
Here is our AC Milan v Roma tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a AC Milan home win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
AC Milan collected a third win in four games in the Italian top flight last weekend when they recorded a 3-0 win away from home at Empoli which helped the hosts remain in third place in the Serie A standings, while Roma could only muster a point in a 1-1 draw at home with Atalanta making it just one win from their last five matches.
Previous recent wins against Monza and Sassuolo have also contributed to AC Milan's rise in form once again in the domestic top flight where the hosts have won five out of their last seven games overall including earlier back-to-back home wins against Fiorentina and Frosinone and although AC Milan were handed a 3-2 loss away from home at Atalanta, Sunday's hosts have re-ignited their Serie A campaign in recent weeks.
Stefano Pioli's side had previously suffered a stumble in form from towards the end of October through to mid-November which included losses at the hands of Juventus and Udinese along with draws against Napoli and Lecce, but recent results suggest AC Milan have come out of the other side and rekindled their previous form.
The bigger picture shows AC Milan have lost just twice in their last 18 home games in Serie A, collecting no fewer than 13 wins in the process.
Roma dropped down to eighth place in the Serie A standings after being held to a disappointing 1-1 draw at home with Atalanta as the visitors have also experienced a lull in results and form which has seen Jose Mourinho's side pick up just the one win from their last five matches overall in the Italian top flight.
That singular success in recent weeks came in the form of a 2-0 home win against Napoli but having also been dealt defeats away from home at Bologna and Juventus along with an earlier draw at home with Fiorentina, Roma now find themselves in eighth place in the Serie A standings and four points adrift of the top four pack prior to this tough looking trip to the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza to take on AC Milan.
The majority of Roma's success so far in this season's Serie A campaign has also been achieved on home soil at their Stadio Olimpico where six of their eight wins to date have been registered, while results away from home continue to disappoint as the wider picture shows Roma have managed to capture just two wins from their previous 13 outings on the road, losing seven of these games.
AC Milan v Roma Verdict
AC Milan hold a solid record against Roma in previous exchanges as the hosts are unbeaten in the last eight meetings, winning five of these encounters.
Therefore, our main bet will be AC Milan win @ 2.20
Other side bets worth considering:
AC Milan win & Under 2.5 goals @ 4.33
Correct Score: AC Milan 2-0 @ 9.50
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| A | Empoli | 0-3 |
| H | Sassuolo | 1-0 |
| A | Salernitana | 2-2 |
| H | Monza | 3-0 |
| A | Atalanta | 3-2 |
| All ResultsHome Results | ||
| H | Atalanta | 1-1 |
| A | Juventus | 1-0 |
| H | Napoli | 2-0 |
| A | Bologna | 2-0 |
| H | Fiorentina | 1-1 |
| All ResultsAway Results | ||