Coppa Italia, played Wednesday, May 24th, 2023
Here is our Fiorentina v Inter Milan tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to score in this game, over 2.5 goals, and a Inter Milan away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.
Wednesday night brings us the final of this season's Coppa Italia and the Stadio Olimpico will be the venue for this upcoming showdown between Fiorentina and Inter Milan with both teams keen to add to their trophy cabinet while both are also wanting a way into the Europa League via the back-door.
Fiorentina in particular will be keen to figure amongst some of the best European clubs next season if they manage to lift the Coppa Italia trophy this term as the hosts currently occupy a mid-table position of 11th in the Serie A table, but recent results overall suggest that Fiorentina may find this upcoming encounter against Inter Milan a bridge too far.
Fiorentina have managed to capture just three wins from their last 11 matches overall in all competitions, one of which was a vital 3-1 win away from home at Basel in the Europa Conference League semi-final which has seen them progress to the final where they'll meet West Ham.
Interestingly, six of Fiorentina's last 11 matches overall have resulted in Over 2.5 goals so the prospects of goals in this final appear to be favourable.
Inter Milan are another side from the Italian top flight that will feature in a final on the European stage as they have reached the final of the Champions League where they'll be up against Premier League champions-elect, Manchester City, but it's always good to have a bit of insurance under the proverbial belt by way of winning this Coppa Italia final.
Inter were handed a rare defeat at the hands of Napoli on Sunday when they lost 3-1 away from home which ended a previously impressive eight-match winning streak that included a 1-0 home win over Juventus in the semi-final of the Coppa Italia as well as home and away wins over fierce local rivals, AC Milan, in the Champions League.
Inter Milan were given the toughest route to the final of this season's Coppa Italia in the shape of Juventus but having disposed of the Old Lady, Inter will definitely fancy their chances of seeing off Fiorentina in Wednesday night's final at the Stadio Olimpico.
Inter are unbeaten in their last 10 Coppa Italia ties which should set them up nicely for success here.
Fiorentina v Inter Milan Verdict
Cup finals often disregard the form-book and indeed, Fiorentina recorded a 1-0 win away from home against Inter Milan in their last meeting in Serie A but having previously won five of the preceding six encounters against Fiorentina, Inter do look the more likely to capture the first bit of silverware this season.
Therefore, our main bet will be Inter Milan win @ 1.95
Other side bets worth considering:
Inter Milan win & Over 2.5 goals @ 3.10
Correct score: Inter Milan 2-1 @ 8.50
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| A | Torino | 1-1 |
| A | Basle | 1-3 |
| H | Udinese | 2-0 |
| H | Basle | 1-2 |
| A | Napoli | 1-0 |
| A | Napoli | 3-1 |
| H | AC Milan | 1-0 |
| H | Sassuolo | 4-2 |
| A | AC Milan | 0-2 |
| A | Roma | 0-2 |