St Pauli v Hoffenheim

Bundesliga, played Friday, March 14th, 2025

Here is our St Pauli v Hoffenheim tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Hoffenheim away win. Our confidence in this pick was high relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

St Pauli vs Hoffenheim Preview

St Pauli managed to earn what could prove to be a valuable point last weekend in the German Bundesliga with a 1-1 draw away from home at seventh placed Wolfsburg, but although St Pauli now return to the home surroundings of their Millerntor-Stadion for Friday night's encounter against Hoffenheim, the hosts head into this clash on the back of six games without a win.

Hoffenheim, by contrast, extended their unbeaten run in the German top flight to four games overall last Sunday with a 1-1 draw at home with Heidenheim which in turn has given the visitors a six-point cushion above the relegation play-off spot ahead of Friday night's clash with lowly St Pauli at the Millerntor-Stadion.

St Pauli have slipped to four defeats within their current six-match winless slump as the hosts have fallen foul of the likes of RB Leipzig, Freiburg, Mainz and Borussia Dortmund respectively and although Alexander Blessin's side have picked up points by way of stalemates with Augsburg and the aforementioned Wolfsburg, the omens do not look good for this upcoming clash.

The Friday night's hosts have managed to capture a total of just six wins throughout this season's Bundesliga campaign, only two of which have actually been achieved on home soil at their Millerntor-Stadion by virtue of rare wins against Holstein Kiel and Union Berlin.

St Pauli have also been handed seven defeats within their 12 home games to date which suggests another tough evening at the office for the hosts.

Hoffenheim remain in 13th place in the German Bundesliga table following their 1-1 draw with Heidenheim but nevertheless, the visitors look in better shape to gain a potential result on Friday night than their upcoming hosts having picked up eight points within their last four games overall.

Recent wins against Werder Bremen 3-1 and Bochum 1-0, both of which were also away from home, should give Christian Ilzer's side plenty of confidence ahead of this upcoming trip to the Millerntor-Stadion, especially as the visitors have produced a string of encouraging results in recent weeks in the domestic top flight.

Having previously struggled with a six-match winless run of their own earlier from the start of December through to mid-January which included four defeats, Hoffenheim have slipped to just two further wins in their subsequent eight games overall, along with collecting three wins in the process.

With three wins from their last four outings on the road in the Bundesliga, Hoffenheim will be eager to exploit St Pauli's shortcomings here on Friday night.

St Pauli v Hoffenheim Verdict

Both St Pauli and Hoffenheim have struggled overall though in recent times, so a low-scoring affair may unfold here on Friday night with perhaps Hoffenheim nicking a narrow win.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.72

Other side bets worth considering:

Hoffenheim win @ 3.30

TIP
Large Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
25%
Tie
25%
Away
50%
Voting Is Now Closed
ST PAULI V HOFFENHEIM HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
125
225
230
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-125
-106
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
110
-138
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-275
220
TIE NO BET
1
2
-175
125
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
St Pauli & BTTS Yes
375
St Pauli & BTTS No
275
Hoffenheim & BTTS Yes
600
Hoffenheim & BTTS No
450
Tie & BTTS Yes
333
Tie & BTTS No
750
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
St Pauli & Over 2.5
275
St Pauli & Under 2.5
375
Hoffenheim & Over 2.5
500
Hoffenheim & Under 2.5
550
Tie & Over 2.5
1200
Tie & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
650
0-0
750
0-1
850
2-0
650
1-1
500
0-2
1400
2-1
850
2-2
1400
1-2
1100
3-0
2000
3-3
5000
0-3
3300
3-1
1800
1-3
2500
ST PAULI
HOFFENHEIM
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
L
L
L
T
LAST 5
L
W
T
W
T
ST PAULI
AWolfsburg1-1
HBorussia Dortmund0-2
AMainz2-0
HFreiburg0-1
ARB Leipzig2-0
All ResultsHome Results
HOFFENHEIM
HFC Heidenheim1-1
AVfL Bochum0-1
HVfB Stuttgart1-1
AWerder Bremen1-3
HUnion Berlin0-4
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
ST PAULI
HOFFENHEIM
POSITION
15th
POS
14th
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
25
WON
24%
6
WON
6
24%
St Pauli are 6 games since a win
TIED
16%
4
TIED
8
32%
St Pauli have tied the fewest games in Bundesliga
LOST
60%
15
LOST
11
44%
Hoffenheim are 4 games since a loss
SCORED
19
SCORED
32
St Pauli have scored the fewest goals in Bundesliga
Hoffenheim have scored in their last 4 games
St Pauli have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 games
Hoffenheim have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 games
CONCEDED
30
CONCEDED
47
St Pauli have conceded in their last 6 games
Hoffenheim have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 4 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
ST PAULI
HOFFENHEIM
PLAYED
12
PLAYED
12
WON
17%
2
WON
3
25%
St Pauli have won the fewest home games in Bundesliga
St Pauli are 3 games since a home win
TIED
25%
3
TIED
4
33%
Hoffenheim are 5 games since an away tie
LOST
58%
7
LOST
5
42%
SCORED
7
SCORED
12
St Pauli have scored the fewest goals at home in Bundesliga
Hoffenheim have scored in their last 4 away games
St Pauli have not scored 2 or more in their last 3 home games
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
19
St Pauli have conceded in their last 3 home games
KEY STATS
ST PAULI
HOFFENHEIM
PLAYED
25
PLAYED
25
BTTS
24%
6
BTTS
17
68%
St Pauli are best in Bundesliga for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
28%
7
OVER 2.5
14
56%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
17
OVER 1.5
21
84%
St Pauli are best in Bundesliga for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
8.6
CORNERS
10.3
Hoffenheim are best in Bundesliga for high corners games
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