Mainz v Union Berlin

Bundesliga, played Wednesday, February 7th, 2024

Here is our Mainz v Union Berlin tip and game preview. Based on our detailed analysis of statistics listed below and other factors, we predicted both teams to not score in this game, under 2.5 goals, and a Union Berlin away win. Our confidence in this pick was moderate relative to other picks.

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Match Preview & Team News

Mainz v Union Berlin Preview

Mainz were involved in yet another draw in the German Bundesliga last Saturday when the hosts were held to a 1-1 draw at home by Wolfsburg which extended Mainz's winless run in the German top flight to seven games and a fifth stalemate, while Union Berlin remain perched just above the relegation zone after a 0-0 draw away from home at Freiburg.

Five draws and two defeats within their last seven games overall in the domestic top flight has prevented Friday night's hosts, Mainz, from lifting themselves out of their current third from bottom position in the Bundesliga table where they occupy the relegation play-off spot and having managed to capture just one win from their 17 league matches to date so far this season, the straight win markets should be avoided here! Mainz's singular success so far this term came in the form of a 2-0 home win against RB Leipzig but since that win, goals have also dried up where Mainz have been involved as each of their last eight matches overall have resulted in Under 2.5 goals.

Results on home soil at their MEWA ARENA have been a major concern for manager Jan Siewert as his side have registered just one win from their previous 10 home games and have slipped to no fewer than seven defeats within this period as well. Union Berlin haven't fared much better as the visitors sit fourth from bottom in the Bundesliga table where they do at least hold a three-point cushion over their upcoming hosts prior to Friday night's relegation tussle at the MEWA ARENA.

The visitors experienced a disastrous spell of results in the German top flight from early September through to mid-November which culminated in Union Berlin losing all of their nine matches during that period on the trot after making a promising start to the campaign earlier.

Union Berlin had posted early season back-to-back wins against Mainz and Darmstadt to give Nenad Bjelica and his side the perfect start to the campaign but there are signs of promise once again for the visitors in recent weeks as they have suffered just one further defeat within their last five games overall.

Union Berlin have also registered wins against Borussia M'gladbach and FC Cologne but it's worth mentioning that both of these recent victories were achieved on home soil at their Stadion An der Alten Försterei, while results away from home continue to be poor as Union Berlin have failed to win any of their last seven games on their outings, slipping to six defeats in the process.

Mainz v Union Berlin Verdict

Both Mainz and Union Berlin have produced some poor results of late and this could result in a low-scoring affair on Friday night.

Therefore, our main bet will be Under 2.5 goals @ 1.66

Other side bets worth considering:

Union Berlin win & Under 2.5 goals @ 6.50

Correct Score: Union Berlin 1-0 @ 9.00

TIP
Medium Wager on
Away Win
0-1
YOUR PREDICTION RESULTS
Home
22%
Tie
33%
Away
45%
Voting Is Now Closed
MAINZ V UNION BERLIN HISTORICAL ODDS

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GAME WINNER
1
X
2
100
240
280
BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE
Yes
No
-105
-125
OVER/UNDER 2.5 GOALS
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
120
-150
OVER/UNDER 1.5 GOALS
Over 1.5
Under 1.5
-250
200
TIE NO BET
1
2
-225
162
RESULT & BTTS ODDS
Mainz & BTTS Yes
375
Mainz & BTTS No
225
Union Berlin & BTTS Yes
700
Union Berlin & BTTS No
500
Tie & BTTS Yes
375
Tie & BTTS No
700
RESULT & OVER/UNDER ODDS
Mainz & Over 2.5
260
Mainz & Under 2.5
300
Union Berlin & Over 2.5
600
Union Berlin & Under 2.5
600
Tie & Over 2.5
1400
Tie & Under 2.5
300
CORRECT SCORE
Home
Tie
Away
1-0
550
0-0
700
0-1
850
2-0
550
1-1
550
0-2
1800
2-1
800
2-2
1600
1-2
1200
3-0
1600
3-3
5000
0-3
4000
3-1
1600
1-3
3300
MAINZ
UNION BERLIN
RECENT LEAGUE FORM
LAST 5
L
T
T
L
L
LAST 5
W
T
L
W
L
MAINZ
HWerder Bremen0-1
AEintracht Frankfurt1-0
HWolfsburg1-1
ABorussia Dortmund1-1
HFC Heidenheim0-1
All ResultsHome Results
UNION BERLIN
ARB Leipzig2-0
HDarmstadt1-0
ABayern Munich1-0
AFreiburg0-0
HFC Koln2-0
All ResultsAway Results
FORM
FORM
LEAGUE GAMES STATS
MAINZ
UNION BERLIN
POSITION
17th
POS
15th
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
WON
5%
1
WON
5
26%
Mainz have won the fewest games in Bundesliga
Mainz are 9 games since a win
TIED
42%
8
TIED
2
11%
Union Berlin are 3 games since a tie
LOST
53%
10
LOST
12
63%
SCORED
14
SCORED
18
Mainz have scored the fewest goals in Bundesliga
Mainz have not scored in their last 2 games
Mainz have not scored 2 or more in their last 9 games
Union Berlin have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 games
CONCEDED
31
CONCEDED
34
Mainz have conceded in their last 5 games
Mainz have not conceded 2 or more
in their last 10 games
HOME FORM
AWAY FORM
MAINZ
UNION BERLIN
PLAYED
9
PLAYED
10
WON
11%
1
WON
1
10%
Mainz have won the fewest home games in Bundesliga
Mainz are 4 games since a home win
Union Berlin are 9 games since an away win
TIED
22%
2
TIED
1
10%
LOST
67%
6
LOST
8
80%
Union Berlin have lost the most away games in Bundesliga
SCORED
6
SCORED
7
Mainz have scored the fewest goals at home in Bundesliga
Union Berlin have not scored in their last 6 away games
Mainz have not scored 2 or more in their last 4 home games
Union Berlin have not scored 2 or more in their last 6 away games
CONCEDED
14
CONCEDED
20
Mainz have conceded in their last 4 home games
Mainz have not conceded 2 or more in their last 5 home games
KEY STATS
MAINZ
UNION BERLIN
PLAYED
19
PLAYED
19
BTTS
53%
10
BTTS
6
32%
Union Berlin are best in Bundesliga for both teams to not score games
OVER 2.5
42%
8
OVER 2.5
10
53%
OVER 1.5 GOALS
68%
13
OVER 1.5
15
79%
Mainz are best in Bundesliga for under 1.5 goals games
CORNERS
7.9
CORNERS
9
Mainz are best in Bundesliga for low corners games
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